Tag Archive for: managing risk

The Rosy Picture
I know the idea of being a professional trader will seem like a rosy picture, but the fact of the matter is you are going to face some tough times as a trader. You will have to do many things to be a successful and professional trader (or successful/professional anything for that matter), but the most crucial things you do will be the little things in the big moments of time.

Bottom line is – you will have to deal with making mistakes that cost you money, and a lot of it. You will have to deal with some really tough losses, whether they be 4, 5 or 6 figures. Yes, you can make 5, 6 or 7 figures, but that will be totally dependent upon you remaining completely focused, confident and disciplined while you are going through the good times, as well as the really tough ones.
roadmap to success forex trading 2ndskiestrading.com you will have to do this trading
In Trading…
You will have flat periods, draw-downs, losses (perhaps several in a row), but regardless of what you face mentally, emotionally, or physically, you will have to keep proper money management.
You will likely have to take a trade shortly after getting hit by the market only minutes before. You will have to deal with getting stopped out by a pip or two, only to see the market move 100+ pips towards your target. You will have to be patient and sit on your ass, even though you want to get in.
And you will have to do all of this while the market is moving in real time, while there are large profits to be made, while your emotions are working completely against you, while you are experiencing fear, or worry, or impatience, or frustration, or absolute un-clarity.
making tough decisions in real time forex trading 2ndskiestrading.com
You will have to make tough decisions in real time that may not be so evident as they unfold before you in a live trading environment.  It is very easy and completely common to miss the best setups happening in real time, that follow your rules, or your price action system, because in real time all of the toughest things about trading are present.
The Mountain
I know it may seem like you are pushing up against something larger than yourself, like you are moving a large boulder up a mountain, but you are actually pushing up against yourself – not the market. There is a powerful, self-reflective & insightful quote from Sir Edmund Hillary (1st to ever reach the summit of Mt. Everest) which goes;

“It is not the mountain that we are conquering, but ourselves”

 
This is exactly what trading is, as you are not conquering the market – but yourself.
climbing mt everest conquering the market 2ndskiestrading.com you will have to do this trading
Safe Distance & The Monday Morning Quarterback
Hindsight is a free zone, a safe distance to evaluate things as there is no emotion involved, with no live triggers to activate your unconscious or limiting beliefs. When you look at a trade after the fact, there is always clarity, and it looks like the setup was literally put on a golf tee just waiting for you tee off.

golf tee price action setup hindsight 2ndskiestrading.com you will have to do this trading

However, the reality in trading is, the clarity so available in hindsight is often barely present when trading in real time.
You wouldn’t believe how many ‘authorities‘ or ‘masters of all things price action‘ (ironic considering no peer calls them that), talk about all these great setups after the fact.
They boast how it was ‘widely discussed in their members forum’ only to find out it never was & they never traded it themselves.  This is despite the fact it was an ‘obvious’ pin bar setup, or engulfing bar setup, or some other ‘obvious‘ thing they didn’t trade, but lauded after the fact.
Anyone can be a Monday morning quarterback, but can they be a trader in real time is the question. This is why lately I have been almost weekly posting my actual setups herehere, here, here, here, and here of how I traded them in real time.
This is with all the success and mistakes made while managing that live trade, with my actual entry and exit from the brokers chart, based on all the thoughts, emotions and decisions that are involved in them.
Actual Trades
If they’ve only shown you one trade in the last year, or a few in the last few months, without actually even showing you the entry and exit from their broker chart – then run away as they are hiding from the fact they do not trade. They should also be showing you successful trades from their students which you can find here, here, here, here, and a ton more here.
live price action trade gbpjpy chris capre 2ndskiestrading.com
But make no mistake, there are many things you will have to do while trading, particularly managing, and managing two things which require practice and precision to do well.  They are;
1) Managing Risk
2) Managing Your Emotions
Hopefully you already have a set of rule based systems that you follow to get in and out of a trade, so there is little management in that part. It is the two listed above that require most of your mental/emotional/psychological management and capital.
In Summary
To repeat, you will have to endure tough times as a trader, with some tough losses, flat periods, draw-downs, making expensive mistakes.  And you will have to do this while not investing all of yourself and success / failure in the last trade.  You always have to be trading and thinking in probabilities.
Losses are inevitable, but how you deal with them is not. If you can learn to remain focused, confident and disciplined – regardless of what just happened in the last few minutes, hours or days, then you can find yourself back towards a winning trade. But more importantly, you can experience first hand a valuable lesson, which can pick you up after you fall, carry you towards winning trades, and feed your trading career for a lifetime.

Last week was the first time I had gone back to my archery school in over a year.   Approximately 2mins into the class, I realized how much I had missed formal archery classes, but also how archery helps my trading.

Now I am not suggesting you need to grab an Olympic bow and start taking archery classes to take your trading to the next level.  But, it often helps to acquire a second skill or practice to assist your main endeavor – i.e. trading.
For example, Joe Namath was constantly reminded by his coaches he needed to work on his footwork.  So he did what every quarterback does…he took up dancing!  Footwork was critical to his position, and dancing helped him improve his footwork dramatically.
In almost all skill based endeavors, an additional practice can really improve one’s core skill.  I’m going to share with you three ways Archery helps my trading.
 
1) Focus on the Complete Process
In archery, to hit the target consistently, you have to repeat a specific motion with the precision of a Swiss watch.  But to do this, you have to be completely present and focused on the moment and process.
I had developed a habit of pulling my back shoulder towards my head.  As my teacher corrected me on this, my concentration naturally became more focused on my pulling shoulder.  But, in the process, I wasn’t rotating my front elbow properly.
I quickly realized too much concentration on one area meant less on another.  Now just imagine if I was a tightrope walker and had this problem 😮
tightrope walking 2ndskiestrading.com
I find this to be the same with developing traders – they focus too much on strategy (particularly the system and entry) but not enough on controlling risk.  Managing risk is a game of pure mathematics, and with most traders, they take profits too early, but get hit for their full stops.
 
Does this sound familiar?
This is a mathematical disaster waiting to happen, and unless you understand your risk of ruin tables, along with how your system performs over time, you may be 60% accurate or better, but mathematically doomed to lose money.
To be a successful trader, you have to focus on the complete process and every aspect of trading.  This means just as much attention to proper risk management, building a successful trading psychology, AND a winning system.  If any one is lacking, you will unlikely make money over time.
 
2) It’s All In the Mind
My last session before returning home was the advanced practice focused solely on shooting at longer distances.  Normally, I train at 18m, but for this class it was at 30m.
Obviously, some adjustments had to be made, like changing the sight, getting used to holding the bow higher, etc.
After a few rounds, I was shooting close (but not quite) to what I normally would at 18m.
At the very end though, things got interesting.
We ended by shooting three rounds back at 18m, and it ‘felt‘ incredibly easier.  Yes, precision becomes more critical at longer distances, but it also felt easier as a whole.  Something changed in my mind, and I definitely felt more confident about shooting at 18m.
But what I noticed is with the top shooters in the school, they almost shot identical to what they did at 18m. Why were they able to shoot the same at 18m as they did at 30m?
The difference was in the mind.  To them, their mind was just as focused on the task at 12m as it was at 30m, and they were also just as confident.  That difference in the ‘thinking it was harder’ for me, definitely translated into my experience of it, particularly my confidence.
brain working 2ndskiestrading.com
Just like archery, so much of trading is in what goes on between your two ears.  Take a look at your last 20-30 losing trades in your journal, and see how many of them are related to mental errors, as opposed to you executing everything perfectly, but the trade just not working out?
Now do the math and see what you would have done if you had executed the strategy perfectly.  Try the same for your last 20-30 wins, particularly the ones whereby you exited too early, and do the math again. Take a look at the results, and I’m willing to be with over 90% of you, your performance would have improved (if not been highly profitable) if you had used the strategy according to its rules.
Numbers are the best sirens for traders, so see the financial impact your mind has on your results.  Now imagine that every month for the next 5 years and see what the difference would be.  You are likely talking about two different trading careers.
So ask yourself how many errors do you make simply because of your mind & emotions, then see what you can do to make less errors.  For traders more often than not – it’s in the mind.
 
3) Repetition is Key
Nobody will become a professional golfer swinging the club only 5-7x a month.  The same goes for throwing a baseball, playing piano, and trading as well.  There is no way you are going to really understand trading, patterns, price action, or the markets if you are only pulling the trigger less than 7x a month.
If you are currently doing this, you are not getting enough feedback from the market, and almost certainly not finding good setups, because there are plenty that happen per day.
beijing olympic archer 2ndskiestrading.com
Just like in archery, repetition is key to getting the process and technique down.  This does not mean you will become a better archer shooting an arrow every 10 seconds as opposed to every 20.  There has to be deliberate practice and you have to be able to concentrate on each trade, just like each arrow.
Thus, repeating the process more often will generally lead to better development, so make sure you are trading every day unless there is absolutely no signal with your system.  But if that is the case, consider getting another system.  Trading is like a feedback loop which communicates information on you, what you see in the markets, and how you are doing.  Any lack of feedback usually means a missed opportunity to both profit and learning more about yourself and where you need to develop.
 
In Summary
Often times, when learning any skill based endeavor (like trading), finding another practice to engage in will often help augment your development as a trader.  Many things come to mind, such as playing chess, learning an instrument, training in a brain gym, playing poker :-), and also archery.  All of them have aspects which develop key skills highly useful for trading, and could provide the necessary tools to take your trading to the next level.
In terms of trading though, make sure to realize how a lot of it is in the mind (confidence, emotions, etc), to focus on the complete process (risk management, trading psychology, strategy), and how repetition helps develop your skills as a trader.