Tag Archive for: pin bar trading

You might have had a few profitable months trading live this year, but if you are like 92.5% of all traders out there, when the clock strikes 2015, your account will be negative.

In almost all endeavors, the dividing line between success and not making it is a fine one. Likewise, such a dividing line is drawn daily by what you do, and what you do not do.

Another way of putting this would be – those who will be profitable at the end of 2014 will generally do the things consistently others will not.

The great thing is, you can be one of those in the green at the end of this year. To get there though, you’ll likely have to make a few changes to what you are doing.

Here are some simple steps you can take to put yourself in the 7.5% who will be green at the end of the year. These are the 4 things you should be doing (minimally) if you are trading forex.

1. Being Mentally Prepared

Ever go to a professional sports event 1-3 hours before the game started? Besides empty seats and reporters giving up to date info, you’ll see one constant every time. The athletes themselves are preparing.

mentally preparing for trading 2ndskiesforex
All professionals simply know you have to prepare before each game/event/match. Keep in mind, these professional athletes are already successful, yet they prepare regardless. In trading it is no different, although most of our preparation is mental.

Being mentally prepared, means knowing what you are going to do during your trading day, and how you are going to do it. It is tuning your mind to give yourself the greatest mental edge possible.

Ask yourself do you prepare mentally each day? Do you have a routine you go through before you hit the buy and sell buttons? What do you do to build a successful mindset?

Interesting Story: I had a student who started off his first month of live trading in the red. The next month, he upped his game gaining +11% for the month, mentally prepared for each day.

Ironically the following month, he stopped his mental preparation, and as suspected lost money.

After doing his private follow up session with me, we got him back on his mental preparation routine. Where is he at for the month of May? Up almost 7%.

2. Have A Trading Plan

One of the most important documents you will have as a trader will be your trading plan. This is what you will follow each day from the beginning to the end of your day. It is to guide your actions, along with helping you measure habits and patterns of behavior, to see what is working (or not).

There are generally two types of trading plans:

1) Day-to-Day Trading Plan (actions to do/follow daily)
2) Business Trading Plan

Most ‘authorities’ and ‘masters’ of price action promote only the first one, and they do so in a highly limited way.

Generally such freshman trading plans cover the typical vanilla things, such as;

1) Price Action Signals to Trade
2) What instruments you will trade
3) % Equity Risk Models
4) Stop Loss and Take Profit Rules
5) Rules for Entry & Exit

Look familiar? These plans are completely inadequate by themselves. They myopically focus only on the mechanics of an actual trade.

What about mental preparation? What about reviewing your trades? How you will treat trading as a business, and measure properly if your business trading plan isn’t working?

trading plan and planning your trades 2ndskiesforex
Just like the CEO has a business plan, or the NFL coach has a game plan, you should not be trading without a trading plan.

NOTE: For a really good article on How to Build a Proper Trading Plan, click on the link.

3. Have a Way to Measure and Review Trades

Most traders in the red come end of the year do not measure their trades. The irony is, usually a small adjustment to what you are currently doing will help you trade consistently profitable. One of the best places to find this information is in measuring and reviewing your trades.

Measuring your trades is initially done through a trading journal and performance worksheet. The former notes all the details about each trade, while the latter analyzes the performance of each pair, strategy and time frame.

Have you considered the fact you may do really well with a few pairs, yet consistently lose money with others? How would you know without measuring your trading performance?

reviewing trades 2ndskiesforex
Reviewing trades is probably one of the hidden secrets you’ve overlooked to boost your performance and skill set. Sometimes looking at charts of past winners and losers will help you spot patterns and price action context you missed before.

NOTE: For a good article on reviewing trades, visit the following link: Reviewing Trades – Two Crucial Tips

I actually have a folder full of screenshots for winning and losing trades. I also have a folder of screenshots whereby the charts show great examples of a price action pattern working out. By reviewing these charts at the end of the week, I am wiring into my brain to look for these patterns, thus being more likely to spot (& trade) them in real time.

For more information on end of the trading week review, click on the link here.

4. Continual Training

Most developing traders seem to think that once they are profitable, the training ends. Does a concert pianist ever stop training? Do high level martial artists ever stop training? Do Buddhist monks ever stop training?

No. So why would you think that training ends at some point?

Do you have two hours set aside to trade each day, but no trades available with your set and forget strategies? Don’t walk away and be a lazy trader – study, practice, or best of all – do live simulation trading.

Is it a holiday and the markets are closed? The answer is the same.

Anytime I am not trading for the day (for whatever reason), I Use Forex Tester 2 to Accelerate My Learning Curve. FT2 allows you to do live forward simulation trading on any pair or time frame, with at several years of data available.

Need help with your pin bar trading? Use forex tester 2.  Having trouble trading support and resistance key levels? Jump on forex tester 2.

It’s like the golfer going to the driving range – but for trading.
continual training 2ndskiesforex
This is a great way to build your skill set and get real practice time executing trades in with live forward simulation. You could literally do 50-100 trades in one hour with forex tester 2, which may take you an entire year to do on your own.

I could spend a day talking about the benefits of this as the list is long, but for those trading daily and 4hr price action strategies, you’ll need to increase your trade/rep count to build a sufficient skill set. FT2 is the best way to do this.

You Will Need This Though…
One might think that having a strategy with an edge is one thing you shouldn’t bother trading without.

I agree, but I think this should be a part of your trading plan. If it’s not, then your trading plan is incomplete.

In Summary
All high level professionals do a minimal amount to perform well in their chose field, and that minimum amount they do is often more than those who are not successful. Trading is no different.

If you decide to trade anyways without doing these 4 things above, expect sub-par performance. More importantly, don’t expect the best out of yourself.

With that being said, what things would you add to this list?

Today I am going to discuss Pin Bar trading, which can give some insight into a potential price action reversal, entering traps, and getting into trends.

In this article, I will specifically talk about how you can use it for aiding your key support and resistance levels to find likely turning points.

I’ll also talk about what a pin bar is communicating from a price action and order flow perspective, and how to trade them.

The term was originally penned by Martin Pring calling it the Pin Bar, which stood for ‘pinocchio bar‘ or a bar that is telling a lie.

Why?

Martin had noticed that these types of bars come up in strong trending moves, but what they do is initially create a break of the highs or lows for the move, but then break back into the range of the prior candle.

This break of the highs or lows is the ‘telling a lie‘ part of it, trying to get short term traders in on the break.

When the candle breaks back into the range, they are then trapped and if the price action continues to break in the opposite direction of the trend, then those traders who are trapped have to exit their longs/shorts, thus helping fuel the reversal.

But lets take a look at a general pin bar in the image below.

pinbar trading price action forex pinbar patterns 2ndskiesforex mar 19th

Looking at the image above, the blue bar at the bottom is a pin bar, which generally should open inside the body (and/or wick) of the prior bar.

The pin bar itself should form a new low in a downtrend, or a new high in an uptrend.

This is what creates the ‘trap‘ for the traders that entered short on the break below the lows. With the bar closing up, the new shorts are now trapped and if price climbs enough, they will have to exit for a loss which will help fuel a price rise and the reversal.

Now lets take a look out a little further at this pin bar in the context of the price action around it with the chart below.

pinbar trading forex price action pinbar setups 2ndskiesforex mar 19th

Now that we see the larger picture here, price was selling and then formed a SL at .8100.  Price then bounced to .8275 where it ran into resistance and created a pullback from the SL.

Price then sold off for 8 candles (32hrs) only to run into a pin bar a prior support level, giving us a really good price action trigger to go long and reverse this move.  Let’s see how it played out in the following chart.

pinbar price action forex trading pinbar trading 2ndskiesforex mar 19th

After selling off for 8 candles and 32hrs straight, price action then formed a pin bar, which was the low in this move reversing 90 of the 130pip sell off (over 61.8% of the move).

We actually blogged about this trade ahead of time and many of our price action traders got long on this one for a nice 3:1 reward-risk setup.

We placed our entry on a small pullback into the pin bar, and targeted .8225. Price went about 10pip past our entry and then encountered a new wave of selling.

But as you can see, the pin bar itself was the key price action trigger in setting up this reversal.

Let’s take a look at another example, then we will talk about finding a good entry for the pin bar along with time frames.

pinbar forex price action pinbar trading 2ndskiesforex mar 19th

Here is the EURUSD on the 1hr time frame.  Price has been climbing for over a day from 1.3140 – 1.3290 and then forms a pin bar at the top of the uptrend.

Notice how in forming this pin bar, price had already been struggling around 1.3270/80 to make any new significant highs.  Let’s take a look at how price action responds to this pin bar formation.

pinbar forex price action strategies price action trading 2ndskiesforex

Looking at the chart above, notice how after forming the pin bar, price then formed an inside bar right after the pin bar, telling us there was definitely a pause from the pin bar rejection which is interesting since

a) price was already struggling around 1.3270/80 and

b) the bulls had been in control for so long

Where did they go all of a sudden?  This should have been a clue the market was about to reverse and the pin bar was the trigger.

Price then traded sideways for a few hours, but then sold off heavily shedding +180pips from the pin bar highs giving a highly profitable trade with very low risk so hopefully this gives you an idea of the pin bar formation as a whole.

Pin Bar Entries

In terms of finding a good entry, one method is to take a pullback into the pin bar itself, but this should always be based upon the order flow around the pin bar and the key levels around it.  If the bulls/bears are in control at the time of the pin bar, there is a good chance they will attempt to break the highs/lows of the pin bar so a pullback gives a nice option to get in the market.

There are actually many pin bar entries, and they should depend upon the context of the price action around and leading up to the pin bar itself.

Depending upon how the price action is leading up to it and around it will determine and communicate what is the best entry, but the pullback is one solid option you can use for now.

In my price action trading course, I actually discuss how to quantitatively break down a pin bar as we have tested over 10yrs worth of data on over 15 pairs, totaling over 100,000+ pin bars.

From this information, we were able to come up with a very precise definition of a pinbar, along with giving you exact entry parameters for each type of pin bar, and how to find optimal targets.

One methodology suggested has been to find a 2:1 reward to risk target, or next key support/resistance level. But testing has shown this not to be an optimal method for trading this, as many times price can way under/overshoot the target, either leaving you stopped out before your target, or missing out on a lot of potential profits.

Time Frames

In terms of time frames for trading pin bars, they really can be traded on all time frames from the 1min, to the weekly chart.  However, as a pure pattern, testing has shown them to be a lot less accurate on anything lower than a 1hr time frame, so we suggest using them on the 1hr, 4hr and daily time frames if you are only going to trade them as a pure pattern.

We always recommend trading them with price action context, and never just as a pure pattern.

It is not that they cannot be used on the lower time frames, but in isolation, they will be a lot less effective, so you will need to add additional optimizers and parameters to enhance the strength of them.

Also consider on the 1hr, 4hr and daily time frames, more traders will be watching them, and thus get into the trade – likely strengthening the reversal.

Along those lines, think about it this way.  If price action forms a pin bar on a 5min chart, we are talking about a rejection that lasted 5mins.  Think of how many orders or transactions occurred during that time.

Now compare that to 1hr of price rejecting, 4hrs of price rejecting (half a trading session), or a daily pin bar showing price had rejected for an entire day across three different sessions with three different sets of investors all weighing in saying this price rejection was a significant one.

If you consider that, then it makes more sense the 1hr, 4hr and daily ones will have greater strength to them, but again, it all comes down to context

In Summary

Thus as we can see, the pin bar formation is a strong price action pattern communicating a rejection of sorts in finding tops and bottoms, telling us a counter-trend move is likely to begin.

Obviously this is an over-simplification of a pin bar trading strategy, but we can see how it works and understand it from an order flow perspective.

There are many other variables and types of pin bars, which will enhance or weaken the pin bar, such as body size, close-type, prior price action, was it a trap, was it hitting off key levels, etc. In any case, this should give you a good introduction on what a pin bar is, what it means from an order flow perspective, how it works from an order flow perspective, and one way you can trade it.

There are various other pin bar trading methods which use this so should you want to learn more about then, then feel free to check out my Price Action Course. I teach quantitative methods for pin bar trading and discuss live setups all the time.

Other Related Articles:
Intraday Price Action Trading – Reading Forex Price Action
Pinbar Setup NZD/USD Mar. 9th
EURJPY Pinbar Price Action Forex Setup Mar. 7th

This lesson is focused on one of the least discussed topics in trading – price action. In this forex price action training video we teach you how to identify a critical component of price action – Impulsive vs. Corrective moves.