Tag Archive for: make money trading

To make money trading forex (or any market for that matter), you’re going to need statistics to improve your trading performance. When it comes to improving your trading performance, 9x out of 10, you should be choosing data over opinions.

I’ve trained thousands of traders, and often times, the difference between winning and losing money came down to one data point or statistic, and at most 2-3.

In today’s trading article, I’m going to share with you 6 trading statistics every forex trader (and all traders) should know. Let’s jump in…

Trading Statistic #1: You Better Have This

In a highly fascinating study, FXCM did an analysis of traders who had negative risk:reward ratios vs traders who had a 1:1 risk:reward ratio or higher.

For those of you who don’t know what the risk to reward ratio means (risk:reward), it basically measures the money at risk on your trade vs your potential reward. To give a few examples:

  1. If I’m risking $1000 on my next trade, and my take profit is at $1000, then I have a risk:reward of 1:1
  2. If I’m risking $1000 on my next trade, and my take profit is <$1000, then I have a negative risk to reward ratio, meaning I’m risking more than my potential reward
  3. In contrast to that, if I’m risking $1000 and my take profit is $2000, then I have a positive risk:reward ratio of 1:2

Getting back to the FXCM study, they found that trading strategies with a negative risk:reward (i.e. <1:1) had only a 17% chance of making money trading.

Meanwhile, if a trading strategy had a 1:1 risk:reward ratio or higher, they had a 53% of making money (see image below).

risk-reward-profit-stats 2ndskiesforex

Another way to put this is: if your trading strategy has a negative risk to reward ratio, you have a 300%> chance of losing money vs a trader who is using a even or positive risk:reward ratio.

You should now be realizing two important things when it comes to setting profit targets and building a trading strategy:

#1: Make sure you minimally target a 1:1 risk:reward ratio on every trade
#2: DO NOT sacrifice your risk:reward ratio (and take it negative) just to increase your % accuracy

Trading Statistic #2: Risk of Ruin

Originally designed for casino games, the risk of ruin (RoR) is one of the most important trading statistics you need to know. To put it simply, the RoR will mathematically tell you in one statistic whether you are going to make money or blow up your account.

The risk of ruin statistic basically looks at your overall payoff ratio (or Avg.+R per trade), your % accuracy and your % risk per trade. Over a sufficient number of trades (100 or more), you can determine your risk of ruin and know – based on your current trading strategy, whether you will make money, or blow up your trading account.

Below is a table showing the risk of ruin statistics using 1% risk per trade, and measuring various payoff ratios and accuracy %’s.

risk-of-ruin-table-2ndskiesforex

If the box is red, you have a 100% of blowing up your acct. If the box is green, you’re going to make money trading. The number inside the boxes tells you the % chance you will blow up your account.

What you’re looking for in your RoR is 0, meaning you have a 0% chance of blowing up your account. Hence, if you want to make money trading, you’ll need to know your risk of ruin.

NOTE: We have a FREE risk of ruin calculator which you can use by clicking on the link

Trading Statistic #3: Trading Strategy Durability

The durability of your trading strategy is critical. This is because the markets are always in flux, which also means your accuracy %, and thus your performance will always be in flux.

Most profitable trading strategies operate within a range. So if your trading strategy is 60% accurate (on avg.), due to winning and losing streaks, you’re trading strategy is likely to fluctuate in terms of accuracy (~between 50% and 70% accurate).

Hence it’s important to have a strategy that can under-perform, yet still have enough margin of error to make money trading.

Now using the risk of ruin table from above, do you notice any patterns when it comes to profitability? When you go further to the right on the top/horizontal axis increasing your payoff ratio (or Avg.+R per trade), you’ll notice the number of ways you can blow up your account decreases, while the number of ways you can make money trading increases.

Another way of stating this is:

You have more ways to lose money at lower payoff ratios, and significantly less ways to make money trading.

The obvious correlate to this is:

The greater your payoff ratio, the more ways you can make money trading, and thus have a smaller window to lose money.

In short: try to build a trading strategy with a payoff ratio > 1:1. You’ll have a much easier time handling draw-owns and recover faster when you get back on track. And that = more durability.

Trading Statistic #4: Most Beginning Traders Are Poor Learners

Being that we have over 10,000+ students in our trading courses, we’ve been able to collect a lot of statistics on our students, particularly when it comes to trading performance, and how they train.

In deciding to conduct an internal study on how our students train and learn in our online trading courses, we found dozens of fascinating statistics. But one pattern we noticed is that most beginning traders are poor learners and have bad learning habits.

Why do I say this?

When students buy one of our online trading courses, one of the first things they receive is a welcome email. In this welcome email, we explicitly instruct them to watch the welcome video 1st because it contains key information on how the course works, what training models we find best and how to best use our trading methods.

How many students actually watch the welcome video? <20%. And how many students actually watch the lessons in order? 27%. From this, I think we can make the conclusion that most beginning/struggling traders are poor learners.

Now ask yourself this: do you normally just read books out of order in terms of chapters? Do you try to skip belts and skills when training in martial arts or learning to play an instrument? No, so why do you do this when it comes to learning how to trade?

There are many likely reasons, but the lesson should be clear: don’t sacrifice your learning process by letting your impatience win the day. Doing so decreases the chances of you making money trading.

Trading Statistic #5: Proper Risk Management

For my price action course members, they get a free skype analytics session with me whereby I analyze their trading performance over a number of trades, and help them find ways to make more money trading.

Many times, after 1-2 sessions, the student turns profitable. I recently shared an example of this on my twitter account with the student making +11% profit in 2 months.

2ndskiesforex-profitable-traders

Now out of the 1000’s of trading accounts I’ve analyzed from my students, how many of them are using consistent risk management on our first call? <30%!  What I mean by ‘consistent risk management‘ is risking the same % equity per trade.

NOTE: To learn why we recommend a fixed % risk management system, hit that link.

To put it simply: if you’re not risking the same % equity per trade, then you could be risking more on your losses (and thus losing more), while risking less on your wins (and thus winning less).

That is outright masochistic. If you want a surefire way to blow up your account, constantly change the risk % per trade and just do what you want. However, if you want to bypass this avoidable pain and suffering, make sure you have a consistent risk management system and fixed % risk per trade.

Trading Statistic #6: How to Absolutely Fail At Trading

Over the last 12 years, I’ve gotten to review thousands and thousands of my students accounts, statistics and trading performance. I’ve taught many students to make money trading and become consistently profitable traders.

How many of my students were able to make money trading without proper risk and money management? ZERO! No explanation needed.

Hence, if you absolutely want to fail at trading, then just risk what you want without any data, math or statistics to support your decision.

In Closing

If you want to make money trading, you’ll need to know your stats and understand what the data is communicating about your trading performance. There are many ways to get sufficient data and statistics about your trading performance. Two free services you can use are myfxbook and fxblue.

I’d suggest getting your account connected to one of those services and looking at your data to see where you’re at. This will help give you a partial roadmap of how to become a profitable trader.

But beyond getting the stats, most likely you’ll need an experienced trader and trading mentor to evaluate your performance, and give you quantified feedback on how to improve your trading. That + the feedback and guidance they can give you to correct your trading mistakes can often be the difference between winning money, and losing money trading.

If you’d like to get actionable guidance on how to become a better trader, click here to join my price action course, giving you access to me, the members trade setups forum, and over 60 hours of trading lessons to improve your performance.

With that being said, por favor make sure to share your feedback with a comment below.

Until then, may you find real progress in your trading performance and mindset.

What You’ll Learn In Today’s Trading Article:

-Why most trading courses will fail to teach you how to make money trading
-Major problems in the trading mentor and education industry today
-How can we implement technology to help improve trading courses

Retail forex traders (along with stocks, futures, options, commodities and global index traders) have a problem, and it’s a problem the broker has as well. Most traders who open an account on January 1st of any year will not be profitable at the end of that year.

Think along the lines of 8-9 out of you traders will not be profitable at the end of the year.

9 out of 10 traders won't be profitable 2ndskiesforex

Now when I started trading forex back in 2000/01, there were about 6 websites online about forex trading. Now there are millions of forex trading sites with thousands of online trading courses.

We’ve had a massive proliferation of online trading courses, trading mentors and educators, yet the needle of retail traders making money has barely moved. Hence you have to ask the question; why are so many retail traders losing money?

The answer really only has 3 possibilities:

1) There is a problem with the trader (you)
2) There is a problem with the trading education out there
3) All of the above

The answer to the above question is #3.

Without a doubt, there is a problem with you (the trader). This is implicitly obvious in the fact you are constantly studying, training, and taking trading courses. You’re doing this because you realize you need to make changes to your thinking, trading mindset, and price action skills to make money trading. Hence you implicitly recognize (consciously or unconsciously) there is something you need to fix, thus making #1 true.

On the other hand, there is a problem with the trading mentors and education today. Think about this probabilistically:

How can there be an enormous explosion + proliferation of trading courses and educators out there, yet profitability over the last 10-15 years barely move?

Even if the root of the problem to profitability is just with the trader (you), then isn’t it the responsibility of the trading mentors + educators today to recognize this, and then change their trading education and courses to help mitigate this problem?

Hence, the answer to the above question (as to what needs to change to make more retail traders profitable), comes down to you + the online training available today.

For trading mentors, our job is to train you in 3 main areas to help you make money trading:

1) building a successful trading mindset
2) acquiring trading skills that can give you a trading edge over time (i.e. technical, fundamental, sentiment, or flow based)
3) learn to properly understand, quantify and manage risk

And while I have written over 1200+ free trading articles to date, have been trading since 2001 and training retail traders since 2007, I am not immune to some of the problems in the trading industry I’m going to talk about today.

Since 2013, I’ve been thinking heavily on how to solve these problems in the industry. By 2015, after doing 2 years of research on this, I felt like I found several solutions to make more traders become profitable and change the trading education industry. From 2015, I’ve been quietly in the background working with developers to build a solution.

chris capre trading office

Since that year, I’ve spent close to $200,000USD building this solution to help change the trading education industry. And just a few months ago, I’ve been working with another trader in the industry who has the same focus, vision and commitment to changing the trading education industry forever.

We’re pretty close to announcing it’s launch soon, but for this article, I’d like to highlight why most trading courses today will fail to turn you into a profitable trader. Then I’d like to talk about how technology is a vehicle which can (and will) provide real world solutions to changing the way you think, trade and perform.

Let’s get into this controversial and (IMO) critical discussion to have about trading mentors, educators and online trading courses.

Problems With Most Trading Courses Today

If you’ve taken an online trading course, or looked to take one, you’ve probably found thousands of courses out there. The majority of all trading courses fall into the following categories:

Online trading courses (pdf’s, videos, books, text, webinars, live courses, etc)
Online Trading Rooms/Chat Rooms
Live in person training (seminars/workshops)

The first two are the most prolific because a) they’re more accessible, and b) the most cost effective.

Live training in person is the least prolific because they’re a) not easily accessible being location dependent, and b) expensive for the amount of time you get doing live training.

london trading seminar 2ndskiesforex
(Image: London Trading Seminar 2015 – twas an amazing trading seminar)

Regardless of which category of training you work with above, they all have two things in common;

  1. They’re all primarily ‘informational’ (this means they spend the majority of time giving you information)
  2. Their feedback loops are almost always voluntary, not consistent, not automatic, not ongoing, and not continually updating.

Let’s address the first point to start with.

Why Informational Courses Fail to Help You Become Profitable

With informational courses, the general sentiments is ‘If we give you the information you need to make money trading, you should be able to then go make money trading…eventually‘. The problem is, you have to assimilate that information into trading skills, with you doing the majority of the work.

Why do ‘informational’ courses not build your trading skills? And why is the feedback model with most trading courses so poor?

Information Does Not = Successful Trading Skills

How many trading articles, books and videos have you digested over the last several years? My guess is somewhere in the 100’s, perhaps 1000’s? Now if 8/9 out of 10 of you are not making money, then why hasn’t all the books, articles, and trading videos you’ve studied turned you into a successful profitable trader?

Do you really think reading books about golf will make you a good golfer by itself?

Do you really think watching 100’s of martial arts videos on youtube could turn you into Bruce Lee?

Can you become a good archer simply by reading books on archery?

No, of course not. That’s because information (by itself) does not make you a profitable trader.

Trading is a ‘skill-based’ endeavor, meaning you have to wire specific trading skills into your brain to make money trading. Luckily, you have an amazing neurological feature called neuroplasticity, which means your neurological circuits can re-wire themselves (through training and repetition) to make money trading.

This is a real thing.

Now there are 7 characteristics (or rules) behind neuroplasticity. They are:

Intention
Mindfulness
Belief
Emotion
Focus
Repetition
Choices

Notice the word ‘information’ is not in the list above. So jamming as much information to your brain as possible (by itself) will not make you a good trader. Just think back to your college/university days, and try to think about how much of the actual information you digested you can still recall today?

Bottom line is information does not = making money trading.

Now there are 4 of the 7 rules above which are super powerful for impacting and increasing neuroplasticity in your brain, but the one that is most fundamental is #6 (repetition). Simply put, you cannot build new neural structures without repetition.

Hence, since trading is a skill based endeavor that requires ‘repetition’ of a specific action (i.e. proper trading preparation, analysis, execution, risk mgmt, etc.), to make money trading, you’ll have to wire those skills into your brain.

Reading books or watching videos over and over again simply won’t cut it. You’ll need to continually practice those critical skills till they become professional.

Why This Matters

If most trading courses today are ‘informational’, then isn’t there a problem with the trading education and courses today? Doesn’t this mean the majority of trading courses out there are not going to help you make money trading?

 

While you’re at it, when you think about your struggling performance you’re experiencing right now, recall how many trading courses you’ve taken and ask yourself; how many of these trading courses were ‘informational’ vs focused on ‘building skills’?

Most Trading Courses Have Poor Feedback Models

The second problem with most trading courses today is they have poor feedback models.

 

The best way to understand this is, reflect upon what gives you ‘feedback’ when learning to trade or taking an online trading course?

-the market (wins/losses/timing/trading location/accuracy/instruments/performance, etc)
-your emotions
-your self-talk
-your perceptions/attitudes about your trading performance
-your experiences
-environment
-the course content
-the skills your course teaches you to build

feedback model

Now there are several types of feedback you can get, but all peak performers in trading, sports, etc have the following characteristics:

The feedback model is quantified
The feedback model is automatic
The feedback model is ongoing
The feedback model is responsive
The feedback model is continually updating

For a feedback model to be quantified, there has to be fixed metrics you’re measuring through the course that are minimally sufficient to give you quantified data on what you’re specifically performing well with, and what you specifically need to change.

For a feedback model to be automatic, it has to be one where the feedback and data collected is automatic.

For a feedback model to be ongoing, it has to be feedback you’re consistently getting over time.

For a feedback model to be responsive, it has to be able to analyze what training/feedback/execution variables are improving your performance, and which are not.

For a feedback model to be continually updating, it has to be collecting your performance data and continually updating it based upon new data coming in and how the bulk of your performance is changing over time.

Now of the above 5 models for feedback, how many of them does your current course provide? My guess is 1, maybe 2 max. It needs to be said, while my 2ndSkiesForex trading courses offer quantified feedback (our Trading Analytics sessions), which is ongoing, responsive and continually updating, it’s not automatic (not yet at least ;-).

If you’re missing 2-3 feedback models above in your current online trading course, then you’re likely getting insufficient feedback and clarity on how to improve your trading performance. And that can mean the difference between making money trading, and losing money trading.

You’ll have to decide which side of that equation you want to be.

Final Thoughts

I believe the trading education industry needs to change. I think we have to improve our feedback models, along with stop producing ‘informational’ courses, and start building more skill-based trading courses.

This means not just teaching systems and how to enter/exit a trade, but how to build the most important base skills of trading. This has to be done in the same vein as professional basketball players continually work on their dribbling, passing, footwork, and shooting skills day in – day out.

I also believe the trading education industry is going to change, and it’s going to do so with the help of technology. I feel the technology is in place to produce the best training tools available, so you can become a peak performing trader who makes money trading.

beautiful car sunset

Now Your Turn

Do you feel the trading education industry needs to change? How do you think online trading courses can be improved? How do you see technology helping with this process.

Make sure to share your thoughts and leave a comment below as I’m very passionate about this topic and changing the trading education industry.

This year will mark my 18th year of trading the forex and financial markets. I’ve learned some incredibly valuable trading lessons I wish I had been taught when I first started out. These are lessons which have cost me probably north of $2-3 million dollars in losses, missed opportunities, and making mistakes which took years to figure out (and unwind).

If you’re a struggling trader who’s making the same mistakes over and over again, take heed of these lessons as they’ll save you years in your trading process, and likely well over 6 figures in unnecessary losses.

Hence if you want the fast track to becoming a successful forex trader, learn everything there is to know about these 18 trading lessons. Do this and you’ll find yourself making more money and having greater trading success than before.

Let’s jump in.

1) Invert the Equations Of What Most Are Doing

I have a general formula which I apply to trading and life. That formula is to invert the equation (or process) of what most people are doing.

The bottom line is most people are not successful at trading. In fact, with almost all things in life, most are not in the top 10% of anything they do (job, profession, sports, martial arts, etc).

If that is true (it is btw :-), then most of them are likely following similar patterns and equations for their job, profession, sport, etc, and its NOT WORKING!

trader formula for success 2ndskiesforex

What’s the most common pattern you see with struggling traders? Most are not following their trading plan. Most don’t have a proper risk management profile. Most are spending their time on the charts and strategy, not their skills.

Hence, whatever the majority of people are doing – you’ll have to invert that process & equation. Follow this formula and my guess is you’ll find out how well it works in trading, and life as well.

2) Good Trading Requires Good Trading Skills

Trading is a skill based endeavor. There is no way around it. If you want to make money trading, you’ll have to build the skills necessary to do that month in, month out.

Most traders spend between 75-90% of their time looking for ‘the’ strategy, focusing on the charts, focusing on the next trade and how their going to make money. And most are losing money!

 

Look, it’s quite simple. If you want to play like Mozart, do you start off with the focus of playing like Mozart, or do you focus first on learning the keys, building coordination your fingers, learn to read sheet music, learn how to play chords?

The answer is obvious. You focus on the latter. Those are the core skills of playing piano. Do that, and in no time, you’ll be playing Mozart. Trading is no different.

3) Sim, Then Demo, Then Live

I have a framework for how you should build your trading skills to make money trading. The process is simple.

First, you practice on a trading simulator, focusing on the core skills of price action context. Second, you practice synthesizing those skills on sim, and then start practicing on a free demo account, first finding potential trading opportunities, then trading them on demo. Third, after you’ve built some consistency there, it’s time to go live (starting with a small amount first, then building your acct as you progress).

The formula is simple: Sim, then Demo, then Live.

Do that and you’ll shorten your learning process.

4) Treat Demo Trading Just Like Live Trading

Ever thought to yourself “I can’t get excited about trading demo as there’s no money on the line“? Anytime a struggling trader tells me that, I know that they (right now) don’t have the mindset to make money trading.

Think demo trading is something not to be treated seriously? Think practice is over-rated?

Watch the following video of Michael Jordan on practice and how he related to it. See how intense he is about practice. See how seriously he’s taking it, then compare that to how you’re relating to practice.

As Michael said, “Every day in practice was like a competition to me. So when the game comes, there’s nothing I haven’t practiced before. It’s like a routine. I never feared about my skills because I put in the work. Work ethic eliminates fear.

After watching this video, tell me if you can still justify treating demo as ‘not-important‘. My guess is after watching this video, you can’t.

5) In The Beginning, Use Bigger Stop Losses, Then Decrease Them Over Time

75% of my students who do a ‘Trading Analytics‘ session with me (where I use 20+ metrics to analyze their performance and help them reduce their leaks while increasing profits), have one thing in common. Their stops are too tight.

In the beginning, your goal should be accuracy and consistency. Tight stops in the beginning requires precision. Do you really think you have precision in your trading skills right now? If the answer is no, try widening your stops a bit and see if your accuracy increases. If it does, you’re on the right track, like my student below.

trading analytics 2ndskiesforex

However you cannot always have bigger stops as it will decrease your profitability over time. You’ll be leaving money on the table. So focus on consistency first, then precision later.

6) Preparation is Highly Underrated By Most Struggling Traders

How much do you prepare (mentally) for your trading day? 10 mins? 15 mins? I’m willing to bet 75% of the traders struggling out there spend 15 mins or less preparing for their trading day. Are you one of them?

What’s the most important tools for a Football player? His body and his mind. What’s the most important tool for you as a trader? Your mind (for the most part).

Hence you need that tool (your mind) to be sharp and prepared for your trading day. Treat preparing for your trading day like a professional athlete, then see if your performance (and mindset) increases.

trading preparation 2ndskiesforex

7) Whatever You Don’t Measure, You Won’t Improve On

How many metrics of your trading performance are you measuring right now consistently? My guess is 90+% of you struggling traders out there measure 3 things at most:

#1 – % accuracy for your trading
#2 – account balance at the end of the week/month/year
#3 – how much your account is negative from your original starting balance (or how much you need to get back to break even)

Does this sound accurate?

How many metrics do I measure about my trading performance? About 20, and I can measure them so quickly, it takes me < 15 mins to measure.

Bottom line is, whatever metrics regarding your trading performance you are not aware of, you cannot fix. You have to be aware of your trading mistakes before you can fix them.
But even then, if you don’t take the next step (measuring them), you won’t know what your baseline is, and how you can improve.

And if you don’t know what your baseline is, and what you need to improve on, how do you plan on getting better?

8) Consistency Comes From The Mind

I’m close, but can’t seem to break through. All I’m really needing is a consistent trading strategy and trading plan.” Ever thought that to yourself?

Where do all your trading decisions come from? They come from your mind.

How many times have you written out a trading plan, and not followed it? How many times have you not followed your trading strategy? How many times have you not pulled the trigger when your trading setup comes?

Consistency in trading doesn’t come from the strategy or your trading plan. You won’t experience consistency in your trading till you have consistency in your mind.

Hence if you want to experience more ‘consistency‘ in your trading, you’ll have to wire consistency in your mind.

9) Information Does Not = A Good Trader

How many trading books have you read? How many trading videos have you watched? Probably a lot, yes? Yet you’re still struggling to make money trading. Why is that?

If watching videos, reading books (i.e. taking in information) made good traders, you’d likely be there by now. But you’re not. And that reason is simple.

Information does not = successful habits.

Trading is a skill based endeavor. I’ll take the trader who’s read only one trading book, and watched one trading video, but has practiced the core skills of price action context vs. the trader who’s read 100’s of books, watched 100’s of videos, but doesn’t practice their trading skills.

 

10) Successful Trading Requires A Successful Mindset

To make money trading, you’re going to have to build a successful mindset. This is a mindset which focuses on getting better every single day, regardless if they made money that day or not. This is a mindset which embraces the challenges trading provides.

There is a mindset you’ll need to make money trading. While that mindset is not fixed, there are certain habits and patterns of thinking you’ll need to make money trading. You’ll see these patterns in the best traders of our time.

Hence if you want to make money trading, you’ll need to build the mindset to get you there, and keep you there.

growth mindset vs fixed mindset 2ndskiesforex

11) Trading Can Be A Lonely Venture. Join A Trading Community!

Ever feel lonely in your trading quest? NEWS FLASH: You’re not the only one who feels this. Most traders do.

Anytime I visit traders and students in other cities, they all tell me how relieved they are to realize they’re not the only one having these experiences. There is no university degree in trading. Very few people will ever work at institutions with other traders. Plan on not being that person.

Once you realize this, and that you’re not alone, you also realize how beneficial it is to join a trading community.

I feel really proud on the trading community we have at 2ndSkiesForex as they’re all open, friendly, and really helpful towards others, especially the senior students. We’re all here for the same goal, and we realize how important it is to communicate and interact with others on this journey.

trading community 2ndskiesforex

Why should you try to tackle such a challenging profession as trading alone? Why not join an active trading community that supports your growth as a trader, where you can see others succeeding?

12) Focus on the How vs Focusing on the When

One of the most important mindset shifts you can make in trading is spending more time focusing on the ‘How‘ vs. the ‘When‘. I can always tell where a traders mindset is when they ask the question “how long will it take for me to make money trading?

Would you ever walk into a martial arts studio and ask “how long before I can beat up a black belt?” Would you ever walk into a piano school and ask “how long before I can play Mozart really well?” No, of course not. Not only is there no fixed answer for this, you’re focused on the wrong variable.

The reason why this is such an important mindset shift, is it gets you actively focusing on and directing your energy to the ‘how‘ and ‘what‘ that will get you from point A to B.

The ‘when‘ won’t get you from point A to B. But the ‘how‘ will.

13) Risk Management is the Most Underestimated Skill in Trading

90% of all struggling students who start my trading course have one variable in common. They don’t take risk management seriously and have inconsistent risk on each trade.

Now ask yourself, “How good are you at predicting whether your next trade will win or not?

Most likely, you’re not that good. If you were, you wouldn’t be taking so many losing trades that you ‘knew’ were going to lose now, would you?

There are 2 key points here:

1) you’re likely not that good at predicting your winners and losers (less winners)
2) trading is a game of probabilities and your trading distribution will be mostly random

Hence risk a fixed % per trade so each loss is always the same % of your account.

fixed-percent-equity-risk-model-superior-than-fixed-dollar-amount-graph-1-2ndskiesforex

14) There Is A Difference Between Planting Seeds & Watering Seeds

In April this year, my father passed away. I left within a day of hearing upon the news to spend time with my family and say my goodbyes to my dad.

The day I got back home, I realized how much we all were in the same vision, or spirit regarding our family. I realized this was a ‘window’ for us to make real changes, just like all big moments in one’s life are.

I talked with my family about how this moment was a window, and a great opportunity for us to plant new seeds for our family. But planting seeds is not enough if you want them to fully grow. You have to water them, provide sunlight, and give them proper soil. Do that, and the seeds (which are pure potential) will grow and manifest that potential.

So ask yourself, are you just planting seeds (watching videos, reading books, but not making any real changes)? Or are you actually watering those seeds, taking real actions, working hard every day to get better?

Which trader do you want to be?

15) If You’re Continually Making the Same Mistakes, Seek Training From A Forex Mentor

I could not imagine trying to learn more about becoming a Buddhist and do the meditation practices without a mentor or teacher. I actually did try (back in college) and for the most part, failed.

The same went for my trading. I knew at some point I needed training. I needed someone to provide feedback to me and help me see what I wasn’t seeing. This is something every professional athlete has (a coach or mentor). Why do you think trading would be any different?

If you’re continually making the same mistakes over and over again, you’ll need a mindset and path outside your current one. If your current path, skills and mindset was working, you wouldn’t be repeating the same mistakes over and over again now, would you?

Hence, if the above description sounds like you, get training from a forex mentor (or trading mentor), one that is a verified profitable trader.

chris capre forex mentor 2ndskiesforex

If they cannot (at a minimum) provide one year of verified profitable trading results, then most likely they aren’t a good trader, and most likely aren’t a good trading mentor.

16) To Make Money Long Term, You’ll Have to Get Comfortable With Uncertainty

How do most people make their money? Via a job, yes? A job which pays you a fixed salary on fixed dates. A job which requires you to work fixed hours, wear fixed clothes, and has a lot of fixed rules.

What’s the common denominator there? Everything (by and large) is ‘fixed’ or ‘solid’. You can rely upon that, which has its benefits.

Trading by default completely up-ends that process. The markets aren’t fixed, but ‘fluid‘, constantly changing. Bull trends one day become ranges, pullbacks, or bear trends the next day. You can make $25,000 one month, and lose $2K the next.

What’s the common denominator here? Most things are notsolid‘ or fixed in the markets. And that will totally mess with your brain, and sense of security.

Bottom line is, you’re going to have to get comfortable with ‘uncertainty’ when it comes to trading.

However by becoming a successful profitable trader, you can put the ball back in your court. And that + financial freedom will most likely eliminate about 75% of the every day stresses you experience in your life.

17) Always Wait For Your Price…95% of the time 🙂

If there is a trading lesson I’ve had to learn 100’s of times over, it’s this one. I cannot tell you how many times I got to the charts, noticed a trade setup just happened, and now its moving away from my entry, exactly as I had planned.

Of all the times I chased the trade and price, about 95% of the time, it came back to my price.

This is such an important lesson for 2 main reasons:

1) if the trade does come back to your price, and wins, won’t you be making more money that way? won’t you be losing money if you get in for a worse entry, and it goes against you?
2) what do you think being disciplined, and waiting for your price does to your self-image and trading mindset?

Which one of the above scenarios do you think wins? And more importantly, which one do you want to win with?

18) Your Brain Has The Tools To Make Money Trading, But You’ll Need to Re-wire It

I’m very serious about learning how the brain and mind works. Of the 50+ books I read every year, about 45+ are on the brain, mindset and meditation.

I’ve been studying neuroscience for over 20 yrs since my university days. I’ve spent the last 18 yrs meditating every day, completing a 1 yr meditation retreat and various practice progressions along the way.

There is one thing I’ve learned through all those years. That the brain, and how its wired, has the tools to help you make money trading. It also has the biases to cause you to lose a lot of money trading. Most likely you’ve already experienced this.

Now I’m guessing you’ve heard about cognitive biases? These are mental and neurological structures in your brain + mindset which cause you to make really bad decisions. A few examples:

1) The negativity bias
2) Confirmation bias
3) Fear of Missing Out
etc…

There are dozens of biases you have which will make it really difficult (if not impossible) to make money trading. Luckily, your brain also has a key feature (like hardware in your computer), that allows you to re-wire your brain to make money trading.

This feature is called Neuroplasticity. It’s how your brain can actually change its cellular and neurological structures to form new habits (i.e. habits that will help you make money trading).

What this means is, you have the ability to re-wire your brain to think and take actions like a successful trader.

The key is, you’ll have to re-wire your brain to do this, and that takes methods, applications and work.

You’ll need real practices, methods and training based upon neuroscience, cognitive psychology and a deep understanding of your brain + mind to make these changes.

Luckily this is a real thing, and my profitable students have proven this.

Hence if you want to start making money trading, you’ll have to re-wire your brain to do this consistently. And that only comes with training, practice and hard work.

Now Your Turn

What did you think of my 18 trading lessons? Did you find something valuable here and learn something new? I take my trading, and my mentoring very seriously, so please make sure to share and comment as I want to hear your feedback on this.

I wanted to write a brief trading mindset lesson for today as I’ve been ‘out of pocket‘ for days now. I recently caught a nasty flu virus that has taken the piss out of me.
Fever, sneezing 100x per day, congestion, phlegm, cold shakes, trouble breathing, you name it, I’ve had it for the last several days. Luckily my girlfriend has been awesome in taking care of me, so a big shout out to her (if she actually reads this :-o).
Speaking of which, my girlfriend actually inspired this short trading mindset lesson.
The other day, the fever really set in. To me, this is a bad situation and experience. Who thinks getting a fever is a good thing?
However my girlfriend said something which got me thinking about trading. She said, “Oh, the fever is a good thing. It means your immunity is really kicking in to fight off the virus.

And that got my mind thinking about my process of making money trading, and those who struggle to make money trading (perhaps you are one of them?).
If you are struggling to make money trading, you’re probably experiencing ‘symptoms’.
These could be:

and more…

Have you experienced any of these trading mistakes or symptoms?

Most likely you have, and I did just like you do now.
There is a reason you experience these trading symptoms.
Your brain right now has a 99% chance it isn’t wired to make money trading. This has to do with our brains evovled and development over time.

Right now, you have many components and neural structures in your brain. Some of them are new, such as the pre-frontal cortex, which allows you to make analytical decisions (i.e. reading the price action context in the chart).
Some of these structures on the other hand are very old, like millions of years old. One of them is the amygdala, and it is one of the most frequent actors to cause you to trade poorly.

Why? Because for most of our human existence, we experienced life threatening situations as a daily occurrence.

Think about this fact:

1 in every 8 lads died from protecting our families and resources 10,000 years ago.
In the 20th century, that number is 1 in 100 (I’ve written another extensive article on this subject which you can find here).

Why does this matter to you as a forex trader?

Because of this experience, parts of our brain (such as the amygdala) are heavily wired as if we’re dying at a ratio of 1 in 8. This wiring causes us to experience things today, even though it’s not reflective of our current reality.
So you today right now in front of the charts are trading with old parts that aren’t accurate, nor wired to make money trading.
Your amygdala has several functions, such as:

  • Having a primary role in the process of memories
  • Decision making
  • Emotional responses (more negative than positive)
  • Along with affecting your reward systems

Now think about the above 4 things for a moment.
Let’s say you have an emotional response to trading, such as opening a trade, and the market instantly goes against you. What’s the first thing you’ll likely experience? Doubt, fear, worried about a loss, etc.?

Do you struggle with these emotions while trading?

That’s your old amygdala and wiring affecting your trading performance now.
In fact, your amygdala can get so easily triggered, that every pip the market moves against you is experienced way more intensely than every pip it goes for you.
Have you experienced this before? If so, you’re experiencing the ‘symptoms’ of your old neurological wiring.
Now circling back to being sick and having symptoms, when you experience FOMO, revenge trading, start over-trading, get worried about a profitable trade starting to go against you, etc…you’re experiencing the ‘symptoms’ of your brains wiring, which by and large, isn’t currently wired to make money trading.

When my girlfriend told me the fever is a good thing, my initial reaction was:
“What? Why the heck is feeling like I’m burning alive a good thing?”

But this was simply my immune system kicking in and trying to fight off the virus.
And that is very much how your trading symptoms are. You see, you and your brain want to make money trading. You want to experience less negative emotions, you want to avoid over-trading, you want to be able to trade without being worried of missing out.
You experiencing these things is your brains way of telling you ‘something is wrong, I think this is a bad situation’ but in actuality, it’s not.
You and your brain want to evolve, fix your trading mistakes, and make money trading.
But you can’t until you start to change how your brain is wired.

The good thing is, you can wire your brain to make money trading, but currently, you’re experiencing these ‘symptoms’, and you’ll need to make adjustments to get better.
If you want to learn how to make money trading and rewire your brain for trading success, then check out my advanced price action course where we teach you how to fix your trading mistakes and make money trading.
And if you’re really hard core about changing your brain and wiring it for success in trading (and life), then check out my advanced traders mindset course, where the entire focus is on changing the way you think, trade and perform so you no longer over-trade, you no longer experience FOMO, you no longer revenge trade, and no longer get derailed by your negative emotions in trading.
traders mindset course 2ndskiesforex
I hope you enjoyed this brief article on the trading mindset and how to fix your trading mistakes.
Also a big shout out to my apprentice ‘Sascha‘ who helped me finish this while being under the weather.
Make sure to comment, along with sharing it with others as sharing is caring so that others don’t have to make the same mistakes you and I have in trading.
Time to wire your brain to make money trading.

What’s Inside?

-Tell me about your instruments
-When not to trade breakouts
-Let’s look at where you take profit

In the world of forex trading, if you’re not making money now (over a decent period of time), most likely you have to make some changes. To make money with forex, you will probably have to change the way you think, the way you trade, and the way you perform.

In today’s article, I’m going to share with you 3 things that will make you more money trading. If you want to improve your trading performance and make money on forex, consider making these 3 changes to your trading now.

#1: What Kind of Instruments Do You Play?

As of today, I’ve seen over 10000+ myfxbook accounts. Now I have an important question for you.

Out of all the students who’ve given me a myfxbook account for their first time, how many of them were trading only instruments they profited with?

Any guesses?

If you said ‘zero‘, you were correct.

Think about that for a moment…the first time you use myfxbook and start tracking your trading stats, the chances you’ll profit on every instrument you trade is likely zero!

In other words, you’re trading forex pairs and instruments you are not profiting from, and most likely won’t.

Below is a screenshot of a live myfxbook account for one of my students ‘Ahmed‘ (who’s well in profit).

instrument performance myfxbook

Notice anything? He’s lost every trade on the AUDJPY.

Now as long as you have a decent amount of trades for an instrument, if that instrument you’re trading has all losses, you should remove it from your trading plan and not trade it again for at least one year.

By taking off the instruments you have the most losses with (from my experience), can add between +3-10% of profit towards your bottom line per year.

That can be the difference between losing money and making money trading. It can also be the difference between making decent money, making great money with forex.

Hence look at your trading instruments by clicking on the ‘symbol‘ tab under your myfxbook trades and isolate the ones you lost the most money on.

Make sure to a) record the number of trades per pair, b) total accuracy %, and c) total profit/loss {in %} for each forex pair. Those 3 metrics alone will likely tell you which pairs and instruments you need to stop trading.

Oh and Ahmed whose trading stats you’ve been looking at?

He made a +300% profit in the last 6 mos (see below).

ahmed 300 percent 2ndskiesforex

NOTE: Do you want to learn how to make money trading price action? Find out more by seeing our price action course.

#2: When Not To Trade Breakouts

I have many different trading strategies, but I definitely trade breakouts. And I’ve shown I make money in forex trading.

I have a unique approach towards trading breakouts which you can learn about here.

But there is a key time to trade breakouts, and places on your chart you should not trade breakouts. Today I’m going to talk about two places you should not trade breakouts from.

1. Don’t trade breakouts in the middle of a corrective structure (range)

If you think about the order flow behind a corrective structure (see image below), you can see there is a balance between the buyers and sellers.

corrective structures support and resistance levels 2ndskiesforex

There is a ‘balance‘ because both sides relatively agree on where the price (or value) of a forex pair (or instrument) should be.

The bulls say the floor of the corrective structure is where they see the most value, and bears see this at the top. That is why the range persists, because both sides are participating at clear levels and zones.

This means their no directional winner in the order flow (bulls/bears). And this is what we mean when we say a corrective structure is ‘balanced‘.

In the middle of any range or corrective structure, there is the least profitability available for trading a  particular direction (i.e. trading breakouts) because there is an approximate 50% chance the market will go up or down in the middle of any range.

So avoid the middle of the corrective structure and range for trading breakouts.

2. Don’t trade breakouts just before a major support or resistance level

Looking at the chart below, you see the top line is a major resistance level, and just below it is a breakout formation.

breakout failures

These often form to create the illusion the market will keep going higher through the major resistance level. It can also form by bulls encountering the first layer of a resistance zone which is why the market kept pausing just below the level.

Whichever the reason (or both), I do not recommend trading breakouts just below/above a key level.

Better to wait till the price action is just below/above the actual support or resistance level. If you have less experience with this, we recommend taking a breakout pullback setup (see below).

breakout setups

#3: Let’s look at where you take profit

There are many components to your trades you’ll need to study, analyze and refine. One of those is where you take profit, or your TP.

Now I’d like you to do a little experiment with your own trading account (demo or live):

I’d like you to look at every trade you made money on. Now look at the data in myfxbook, and see how many of those that a) closed at your TP, b) closed manually before your TP.

Record how many trades you made of each (close manually/hit TP), and see which one made more money.

If it’s ‘a‘, then you likely have a solid grasp of finding good targets you can hit consistently. So no need to close them early.

This is what is called set and forget trading.

If it’s ‘b‘, that means you have a good grasp of when your profitable trades are going to turn around, and should continue manually closing your trades.

One last final metric is to look only at the ones you closed manually before they hit their TP, and see if they would have hit your TP anyways before hitting your stop loss (SL).

If that is true, then you’re missing a lot of profit (losing money) by not holding them to their full take profit and should stop manually closing your trades.

losing money trading

In Summary

We covered 3 main points in this article. They were:

1) Analyze your performance for each forex pair and trading instrument

2) When not to trade breakouts

3) Examine your take profit targets

Now that you know why you need these 3 things to make money trading, it’s time to do the work and find leaks in your game, while increasing how much money you make per trade.

Do you want to learn several more ways to increase your profits and how much money you make per trade?

Then check out my Price Action Course where you get life-time membership, access to the members trade setup forum, market commentary and a free skype session with me, so quite a lot.

To learn more about making money with forex, click here.

Now make sure to tell me what you thought about this article and if these 3 things will help you make money trading.

muscles 2

There you are, it’s your 6th, 7th, 8th, 9th or 10th loss in a row. It sucks, it doesn’t feel good, and you haven’t had a winner in a while.

Right now, all you want is a winner, yet you seem unable to get one.

After losing the umpteenth trade in a row, you are now actively asking yourself any one of the following questions:

1) What’s wrong with me?

2) What is wrong with my strategy?

3) Do I not know how to trade?

4) I can’t understand what I’m doing wrong. Why do I keep losing?

5) Should I do the opposite of my trade ideas?

Has this ever happened to you? It’s certainly happened to me.

Ironically, none of these are the correct questions, nor are they accurate reflections of your trading ability.

In fact, you could lose 20+ trades in a row, and still be a damn good trader who can make money that year.

The issue isn’t your strategy, or time frame, or instrument, or your ability.

The problem is your muscles are weak and they need to be developed.

No, I’m not talking about any physical muscle.

What I’m referring to is your trading mindset is lacking.

What it is lacking is the muscle (and skill) to understand and accept variance.

Variance_Formula

 

What is Variance?

In poker, there is a concept called variance. What variance describes is the mathematical possibilities about how you can win and lose.

For example, assume I’m playing Texas Hold’ Em poker. I have pocket kings, while one other opponent has pocket 2’s. Statistically over 1000 flops, I should win 79% of the time.

Now this is where understanding variance is helpful. Just because I should win 79% of the time, doesn’t mean I’m going to win the next 79 out of 100 hands, or roughly 8 out of 10.

I could lose the next 30 of the next 100 hands, or even 50, or 21 in a row.

On a basic level, ‘variance’ means that any combination of wins and losses within the statistical norm can and will happen. So when we have a baseline expectancy or win rate, anything above or below this would be a representation of variance.

A good example of this is in a poker equity curve below.

variance in trading 2ndskiesforex

It is this ‘variance’ and statistics that allows me to profit. It is also this variance which allows me to go on win streaks.

And it is also the same variable behind me going on a losing streak.

The ironic thing is no trader or poker player complains about variance when they are on a winning streak.

But god forbid we go on a losing streak, and our world + trading mindset crumble on the quick.

How Does This Relate to Trading?

Tying it all back, variance is how trading works. There is another name for this in trading called ‘random distribution’. This describes how your wins and losses will be randomly distributed.

The reason why this is such an issue for traders is threefold:

1) most struggling traders don’t understand or accept how variance works

2) most of you haven’t built the muscle (or skill) to accept variance

3) most of you haven’t learned how to detect whether your losses are due to variance (or something actualy ‘wrong’ with you)

Do you have any of the above? If so, it will negatively effect your trading mindset and hurt your performance.

In today’s article, I’m going to show you how the first point is killing your profits and why. I’ll also share how you can build your muscles to accept variance and detect if you are experiencing variance or a problem with your strategy.

How Variance Works (example from a top hedge fund)

Have you ever heard of Horseman Capital? Probably not. Yet they are one of the top performing hedge funds over the last 15 years.

Since 2001, they’ve beat out about 95% of all hedge funds on the planet averaging about 15% per year.

Here is their performance since 2001 below (source: Horseman Capital).

horseman capital 15yr performance

$1 million invested with them at the start of 2001 would be almost $7 million today.

One would think with an almost 695% return, they’d never have a losing month, a losing quarter, and certainly not a losing year.

You’d be wrong on all accounts!

How many losing months did they have during this time? 64 total

How many losing quarters did they have? 17 total

How many losing years did they have? 2

What was there longest losing streak (in months)? 6

Now here are a few questions that have to be asked in light of this

How many losing months would you go before you change your strategy, try something new, or question your abilities as a trader?

Could you make it 6 months before you changed things up or questioned your ability? I’m guessing few if any.

And herein lies the proof in the chocolate pudding…that you’re not accepting variance or fully relating to how it works.

variance in trading 2 2ndskiesforex

If you change your strategy, time frame or instrument too soon, you’ll never see the profit side of an equity curve.

But there is an even far more grave issue with constantly changing your strategy, instrument or trading plan.

And that has to do with one word.

Consistency

If you are going to succeed at trading, you’ll need to execute consistently on a mental level.

Thus to trade consistently, you’ll need to develop consistency in your mind.

“You cannot be consistent in trading without consistency in your mind.”

This is how your brain works. Most of the time, you’ll execute the way your brain is most dominantly wired to do so.

If you are not executing the way you want to now – you simply haven’t wired your brain to do so.

The good thing is your brain has a key trait which allows you to wire and build the habits you need to trade successfully.

This trait is neuroplasticity.

neuroplasticity 2ndskiesforex

There are two types (SDN & EDN). These stand for Self-Directed Neuroplasticity and Experience Dependent Neuroplasticity.

To read more about Using Neuroplasticity to Wire Your Brain For Success – click on the link.

Variance & Your Trading Mindset

Now let’s circle back to variance. If every time you experience a losing streak you change your strategy, you’ll wire inconsistency in your brain.

Again – you cannot have consistency in your trading with inconsistency in your mindset.

Have you changed your strategy after a 1-3 month losing streak? Have you completely doubted yourself after 10 losses in a row?

If so, it means you need to build your muscles. It means you need to develop your skill to understand and accept variance. And make no mistake, this is a skill in and of itself.

Hence before you go changing everything under the sun after a losing streak or drawdown, ask yourself if you are accepting variance.

discipline in trading 2ndskiesforex

Before You Can Accept Variance, You Must Be Able to Do This

Without a doubt, being able to accept variance will be critical to your survival.

It will mean not tossing out a perfectly good strategy just because you’ve lost 10 in a row.

It will also mean learning to deal with losses while focusing on process and execution, not results.

This will lead to building consistent mental habits to make money trading.

But there is a step before you can learn to accept variance and build up your muscles here. And that is, you’ll need to be able to understand the difference between variance and a problem with your actual trading or strategy.

What if there is nothing wrong with your strategy, but there is something wrong with your mental execution?

Or on the flip side of this, what if there is something wrong with your strategy, but you don’t know if it’s you or not?

How do you know? How could you know?

How Can I Learn These 4 Criteria & Build A Winning Mindset?

Luckily we’ve developed 4 criteria to help you with this. Using these you can know if your losses have to do with variance, or signal a problem with your strategy.

For those of you that want to learn more about these 4 criteria, then check out my ATM course.

This could mean the difference between winning and losing. It could mean the difference between you making money trading and giving up before turning profitable.

It could also mean the difference between a winning mindset and one that panics when things go south.

If you want to learn more about this critical subject, then check out my Advanced Traders Mindset Course. There are 20 total lessons like this which will change the way you think, trade and perform.

building your muscles for trading 2ndskiesforex

Now Your Turn

Have you had issues with consistency after a losing period?

Do you constantly change your strategy after a drawdown?

Do you doubt yourself or fail to pull the trigger after a few losses?

How many of these situations have happened to you?

Make sure to comment along with sharing any ‘aha’ moments you got from this article.

Until then, may you find consistency in your trading mindset which leads to confidence in your abilities.

successful forex trading why you dont have what it takes 2ndskiesforex

“It’s got me thinking, maybe I don’t have what it takes to be successful at forex trading.”

Half question + half truth, I hear this a lot from traders struggling to make any consistency or profits.

Ever asked this question? I have in my early years (many times). The answer though will shock you.

What I’m going to say is not ‘politically‘ correct in the forex trading world. I’m guessing most ‘gurus’ will not tell you this either.

The truth is, right now, in all probability, you don’t have what it takes.

And I don’t mean in the sense of the Henry Ford quote If you think you can or cannot do it, you’re right.” That is not what I’m talking about.

What I’m saying is direct and crystal clear – most likely, you do not have what it takes to make money trading.

Wait, what? You’re a trading mentor, why are you saying this?

Because the answer – that you don’t have what it takes to make money trading, is true. Now if that seems depressing, daunting or scary, then you need to know this other key point.

The flip side to this coin, is you actually have what it takes to make money trading.

Confused? Keep reading as I’ll clarify in this article. In fact, I’ll take both sides of this coin, and show you why I’m right on both accounts.

First we’ll jump into the original sentiment – that you don’t have what it takes.

Then we’ll dive into why you have what it takes, and how you can re-wire your brain to making money trading.

What you’ll end up with is:

a) an understanding of why you think ‘maybe I don’t have what it takes to make money trading

and

b) how you can transform this sentiment while leveraging your firepower

Let’s begin.

successful forex trading what it takes to succeed 2ndskiesforex

Why You Don’t Have What It Takes

I’m going to start off with a number: 200,000. That is how many years ago some of our earliest ancestors (Homo Sapiens) emerged.

190,000 years later we shifted from hunter-gatherers to form small bands of farming collectives.

During the last 9,900 years, a ratio about our everyday existence held steady. It is a ratio that is still affecting you today while you trade.

What is the ratio you need to know about?

That 1 in 8 people died from protecting their families, loved ones, and fellow neighbors.

In the last 100 years, that ratio fell from 1 in 8 to 1 in 100. However, you, myself, and pretty much everyone today is still acting as if it was 10,000 years ago.

Our brains and nervous systems today still ‘react‘ as if 1 in 8 of us will die today.

Why is that?

Evolution. For 99% of our existence, our brains ‘evolved’ to protect us from threats. The goal was simple – survive to continue our existence.

This is an understandable goal. However it is probably the most dominant reason why you struggle with trading today.

Why?

Teflon & Velcro

What does teflon and velcro have to do with your trading today? I’ll get to that in a moment.

Just understand, for 9,900+ years, there was a rule our brains operated by. It was Eat Lunch, Don’t Be Lunch.

trading rule 2ndskiesforex eat lunch dont be lunch

This rule got so hard-wired into our brains, it now dominates the neural real estate you think, act, love, work and trade with today.

Every buy and sell decision you make is influenced by this rule and wiring in our brain. In fact you are probably aware of this right now.

Ever heard of the fight or flight response? It’s a survival reaction we have to either fight or flee when facing extreme danger.

Problem is, this doesn’t help us make money in forex trading. In fact, it makes it damn near impossible!

It is also responsible for a bias you have, which is at the root of this question ‘Do I have what it takes to make money trading?

What is this bias you have?

The Negativity Bias

Because of the rule (eat lunch, don’t be lunch) that dominated our mental activity over thousands of years, we developed a bias.

Every human brain has this bias wired in today. You were born with it, and likely will die with it.

In fact, this bias is so strong, if we mapped out all the neural connections for detecting threats, attacks, fears, doubts, & critiques, the ratio would be over-whelming.

You’d be outnumbered by a long shot, and not the kind of odds you’d bet against.

As it stands today, your brain will react with lightning speed to a threat (<.1 secs). How long would it take you to ‘respond’ to a positive stimuli?

About 5-7 seconds. Why?

Because threats could have killed us, jokes (maybe bad ones) will not.

Thus a negativity bias was born and dominates your trading today.

negativity bias in trading 2ndskiesforex

Take a look at that definition above and read it again. Let it soak in.

Now, if you are giving more weight to your negative experiences than positive ones in trading, how do you think that will shape your brain, neural wiring and mindset?

Before you fully ponder and answer this question, let’s get back to how this and our evolution affects our trading mindset.

Lamentably, there is nothing in our evolutionary history which was built towards trading successfully.

This is why when the price action moves against your trade, you are ultra-sensitive to it. It is also why every pip the market moves for you elicits a much smaller reaction.

Velcro & Teflon: Why Your Brain Isn’t Wired for Success in Trading

Back to the analogy of velcro and teflon, positive experiences slide off your brain (like teflon) while negative ones stick (like velcro).

velcro and teflon neuroplasticity 2ndskiesforex

The best example of this is – what days can you recall the quickest and easiest with the most details? Days you won a ton of money? Or days you lost big?

I’m guessing for every 1000 that answer this question, 9900+ will say the ‘big losing’ days. This is your negativity bias at work. This is thousands of years of evolution at play. 

You are fighting an uphill battle from the beginning.

uphill trading battle negativity bias 2ndskiesforex

It is also the reason why it’s true that you don’t have what it takes to make money trading.

The way your brain is likely wired right now, you don’t.  Most of our evolution as humans is against us trading successfully. 

There is no bias for you – only against you.

Hence when you think (maybe I don’t have what it takes to make money trading), technically, you’re right. Most likely it is your unconscious mind communicating something to you.

GOOD NEWS!

You also have what it takes to make money trading.

Wait, what? You just gave me 1000 words why I don’t have what it takes to make money trading. 

How can I not have what it takes, and have what it takes?

There is more irony in this statement than you know. But first, I’ll share with you why you have what it takes.

EDN & SDN

The great thing about your brain & genes, is also behind the reason why you have what it takes to make money trading.

The initials above (EDN & SDN) hint at this.

In one word – neuroplasticity. There are two key forms of neuroplasticity which are your weapons to re-wire your brain. They are:

1) EDN = Experience Dependent Neuroplasticity

2) SDN = Self-Directed Neuroplasticity

neuroplasticity in trading 2ndskiesforex

EDN is a shortened way to say your brain learns, adapts and changes from experience.

It means you can wire in new habits and correct mental errors to your trading performance right now.

A great way to remember EDN is through the following statement:

Neurons that fire together – wire together

Another translation or implication of this is: the most dominant neural networks will 95% of the time determine how you trade each day.

Regarding SDN (self-directed neuroplasticity), the best way to remember it is:

Consistent passing mental states create lasting neural traits.

Hence, if while you are trading, you are constantly:

-angry
-frustrated
-doubtful
-fearful
-or stressed while trading

You’ll only make these neural networks stronger. This only increases the chance you’ll make bad trading decisions.

And it certainly won’t help you protect your mental capital.

negativity bias and the feedback loop 2ndskiesforex

Wait, I thought you said this will help us make money trading?

It can and will. If you want to go beyond the negativity bias for trading, you have to employ different neural networks.

It also means you have to change the mental activity while you are trading.

The good thing is, this is not a long step for you. In just 20 minutes a day, you can re-wire this bias for success. I’ll tell you how at the end of this article.

Both/And

Remember how I told you it seemed strange to say you have what it takes, and also do not have what it takes to make money trading?

Both of these are true. The answer is not binary, or either/or.

Your brain has an evolutionary bias that means it’s next to impossible to make money trading.

But your brain also has built in mechanisms (neuroplasticity) which also make it completely possible to make money trading.

One interesting thing about the negativity bias is what it does to your brain and thinking. When this bias is dominant, you tend to see things in binary. You see things as either/or.

negativity bias in trading either or thinking 2ndskiesforex

How Does This Affect My Forex Trading?

It means…

-you’ll see every loss as ‘bad’, not as a learning opportunity

-when your stop loss is hit, you wonder if you did something ‘wrong’, not as it being a part of trading

-breaking even is viewed as something is wrong, not how close you are to breaking through

Hence when heavily influenced by this negativity bias, it means you’ll either think you have what it takes, or don’t. If you tend to think in either/or most of the time, or make these statements a lot, this bias is strong in you.

It is also probably why you are not trading and thinking in probabilities (only black and white).

An upgrade to this is seeing things as both/and.

This translates to:

-finding the ‘positive’ in things which seem ‘negative’

-understanding that a losing streak is part of the game

-looking for solutions instead of focusing on the problems

If you are wondering which side of this coin you are on, listen carefully to what you say to yourself while trading over the next few days.

Are you saying more of the ‘either/or’? Or are you finding ‘grey’ areas between contrasting points? The best place to look is in your thoughts/mental activity while trading, and you’ll have your answer.

NOTE: A great way to rewire this either/or negativity bias is via meditation.

Meditation helps you create a whole-brain state which heavily reduces the chance you’ll fall into the either/or state or negativity bias.

Click on this link to learn a meditation practice for trading.

In Conclusion

As you can see now, successful forex trading is challenging not because there is something wrong with you, but a simple fact of evolution. We currently aren’t wired to trade successfully.

It is also true you have inherent mechanisms in your brain to make money trading. 

You can:

-learn the skills needed
-can pull the trigger when your price action setup is there
-can stick to your plan & fill out your journal
-can make money trading

Evolution isn’t in our favor, but it’s time we shed this negativity bias which 90+% of the time no longer serves us and stand out from the crowd.

positivity bias standing out from the crowd 2ndskiesforex

To do this, you’ll need to build a new bias. You’ll need to re-wire your brain for success in trading and life.

If you want to know how, then check out my Advanced Traders Mindset Course which focuses specifically on this.

Now Your Turn

Have you asked yourself this question? Ever wondered if you can make money trading?

What ‘aha’ moments did you have from this article as I want to know so make sure to comment below.

Until then – may good health and successful trading be with you.

I recently got an email from a new student who sent me a month of their trading prior to joining my course. Their story is just like many others – they traded well on demo, went live trading, and lost a fair amount of their account. Now they are trying to get back their losses in the quickest way possible.
Sound familiar?
I can appreciate wanting to make gains as quickly as possible. Who wouldn’t?  He asked me what is the fastest way to successful forex trading’?
fastest way to successful forex trading 2ndskiestrading.com
Without a doubt, he had a sincere desire to trade consistently (most do). But two crucial things were missing from their plan.
These two things when done well, will lead to success in trading (and perhaps any skill) faster than hunting for that ‘magic system’ which will  make back all your losses. Without this necessary pair, what you want to accomplish (making money / trading successfully), will not happen. The results will not come.
So what are these two crucial things you need to focus on?  Process and Progress.
Although the goals (making money, trading from home, consistent profits) are what we strive for in trading, when results become the sole focus, your ability to make money trading becomes hindered.
Why?
In order to reach the level of trading profitably and consistently, you have to build the abilities and skill sets necessary to get there. It sounds obvious, almost easy when you hear it, but it is nothing of the sort. It is one of the most elusive aspects of the trading mindset which new traders fail to understand.
How do you get there?
Process First -Then Progress
This starts with focusing on the process by a) doing the steps necessary to build the skill set, which b) allows you to perform.
Do you think an architect started off by creating buildings? Or do you think they had to learn the math, geometry, and basic skills needed to build a structure?
architect focusing on process 2ndskiestrading.com
If you focus on results only, you will skip steps because your focus is not on the task at hand. It sounds counter-intuitive, but your goal in the beginning should not be to make profits. It should be to acquire the abilities (through training and practice), which allow you to perform and trade well.
Remember this next statement well, but a trader will not gain the results wanted BEFORE obtaining and building the necessary skills to reach that result. This comes after you have built those skills.
This is why so many traders fail. They focus on result, not process.
If you think focusing on the process is not important, ask yourself;
‘When getting a complex heart surgery, do you want the doctor focusing on the money he makes from the surgery, or the very complex precise cut he is about to make around your heart?’
focusing on process heart surgery 2ndskiestrading.com
Focusing on Progress
Moving on, once your focus is dedicated to the process, it’s time to track your progress (e.g. end of the trading week analysis).
In the very beginning, I have little concern for a traders profits or losses when they first come to me. My main concern is identifying what parts of the process they are missing or skipping. Then I have them refocus on that so they build the base skills needed.
For example, if a trader (you for example) has trouble keeping risk consistent, and fail to use the risk of ruin formula, you will not make money. So my first goal is to have you focus on keeping risk consistent (process). If you show improvement in this, I’ll have you track the ‘progress‘ you are making.
This latter focus gives you confidence. It communicates to your self-image and mindset you can improve, get better and grow. It self-reinforces you focusing on the process, which helps to see the progress you are making.
If you keep this focus, and don’t skip any steps – it is only a matter of time before you are making money trading.

In part 1 of What You Need to Do to Make Money Trading, I wrote about how you need to get comfortable – particularly with uncertainty as to what will happen next.  Your ability to sit in the saddle of uncertainty will determine your ability to make good trading decisions which leads to more profitable trades.

In part 2, I will delineate why you need to get comfortable with yourself in trading and what this means.

Getting Comfortable With Yourself
When I first started taking archery classes, I had to decide if I wanted to shoot a recurve or compound bow, as they definitely differ in their shooting styles, techniques, handle, potency and uses.

My teacher asked me which I prefer after a few classes, and I took a moment to think about why I was taking archery classes in the first place.

For me, I was taking classes for twofold reasons;

1) As a complimentary skill for trading (concentration, focus, precision and awareness in the moment).  

2) As a meditation practice

To this end, the recurve bow felt more suited to this.  Even though it’s not as powerful, or cannot shoot the same distances as a compound bow, power or distance was not the motivation behind my archery training.  Hence why I shoot a recurve bow to this day.

This process for you getting comfortable with yourself has to be done in a similar way.  You have to really understand who you are, how you best operate, what environments does your natural talents/skills/intelligence prosper, along with what are your specific trading goals for trading.

getting comfortable with yourself trading 2ndskiestrading.com

My guess is when you have figured these things out, the system and method will be just naturally arise and be obvious.  But don’t fall into the trap of thinking you have to gun for ‘the most profitable’ system, or trade on any time frame to be profitable.  You’d be amazed how many times beginning traders ask the question of ‘what time frame do you trade‘ or the more common is ‘what is your most profitable system‘.

Anytime I see this, I can see they are asking the wrong questions. Making money is not time frame dependent – as if one time frame has a monopoly on making profits.  And looking for the ‘most profitable system’ really is ignoring the fact it may not be the best one for you.

It may trade only when you are asleep, or at work. Or it may force you to hold trades for days when you prefer to be out out at the end of the day. What use is it to you then?

A Good Trader
I can always tell a really good trader when I talk to them.  They are never worried about what someone else is doing, how much they are making, or what system they are using.  I personally know a trader that did 3000% one year with over 90% accuracy making at the end of the year over 200k a day.

Yet he is an engineer who is highly mathematical, and employs a system that took him 8 years to learn with his level of mathematical skills (way above mine).  Using that system would actually be counter-productive for me, my time and my natural way of thinking.

Eventually, a good trader has settled into two things;

1) They’ve settled into how they operate best when trading

2) They’ve found a rule based system that works for them

To do this, you really need a little bit of trial and error, but it also takes some self-reflective ability as to how you are as a being.

Do you prefer to micro-manage things, and does this usually work out for the better?  

Or are you best using set and forget strategies?  

Are you really available to trade several hours a day, and do you want to?

Or would you prefer to only ‘participate’ in the markets a couple hours per day?

Are you really risk averse, or are you comfortable with risk and volatility?

Answers to the above questions could determine what is the best strategy, pairs and style of trading you engage in on a daily basis. The bottom line is, if it’s not a fun car for you to drive, it doesn’t really matter what kind of car it is.

You can always tell if you are uncomfortable with a system, if it racks your brain, patience and emotions using it.  If you feel drained trading it – regardless of profit or loss, then it’s likely not for you.  However, if you feel this with every system you use, then the issues may be more on the psychological level with how you relate to trading. This is simply because the common demoninator is you – not the system.

I myself trade both intraday price action strategies, along with higher time frame methods.  I also trade both price action and ichimoku models because the combination of the two is what works for me. I like a balance between being engaged for a couple hours per day, while also holding positions overnight so I can make money sleeping, and just let them play out.

In a recent article called The Ideal Trader, I explained how combining intraday + daily and 4hr price action strategies, is ideal because it allows you to quickly grow your account (via intraday trading), while also making money sleeping.  But the key for you is to find a system and style that is tailored to you across the board, and provides the soil for your natural talents, skills and intelligence to grow and flourish.

forex trading tailored for you 2ndskiestrading.com

Until then, trading will likely be an uphill battle against you – not the markets. But once you’ve found a balance of what’s most natural for you – it will result in you being consistently profitable, while finally feeling settled with trading and the markets.

The next article for this week will discuss always trading and thinking in probabilities.

Kind Regards,
Chris Capre