Tag Archive for: price action context

Want to Increase Your Profitability? Try this powerful approach

If you want to find high probability trades, and skip those with a low probability of working out, you’ll need to develop a core skill. Does this sound interesting? Then keep on reading. What is this skill you ask?

I am talking about trading with price action context.

Good Trading Decisions Are Based Upon Context

First, let’s define the word ‘context’. Context = understanding and approaching a situation based upon the ‘context’ (or environmental variables) around it.

In price action, the ‘context’ is a way of describing the overall environment, and using that to help you trade with the underlying order flow. We have 3 filters to understand the price action context in our Trading Masterclass Course. For the purposes of this article, we’ll talk about impulsive and corrective moves.

Impulsive and Corrective Moves

Now I’ve already done many videos and articles on impulsive and corrective moves. For a more in-depth study, you can watch this video on impulsive and corrective price action, or this article on impulsive and corrective moves. But to sum them up briefly:

Impulsive moves = large bars + majority of bars 1 color + closes towards the highs/lows

Corrective moves = smaller bars + mix of colors + closes towards the middle

An example of an impulsive move is below:

Impulsive move 2ndskiesforex

And an example of a corrective move is below:

Corrective move 2ndskiesforex

As a whole, impulsive and corrective moves communicate a lot about the price action context, such as the underlying order flow behind it.

During impulsive moves, the order flow is relatively ‘imbalanced’, meaning it’s dominant towards one side (buying/selling) which causes strong directional moves.

During corrective moves, the order flow is relatively ‘balanced’, meaning there is no strong winner between the buyers/sellers, hence the market goes mostly sideways.

Using Impulsive and Corrective Moves to Discover the Price Action Context

Now that we understand the basics of impulsive and corrective moves, we can use them to discover the price action context of the market.

As a general rule, an impulsive move (the majority of the time) is followed by a corrective move. If the impulsive move is with trend, then the next move after the corrective move will more often be an impulsive move in the same direction.

Two good examples of this are below:

Example 1: Impulsive and Corrective Moves

Impulsive & Corrective moves 2ndskiesforex

Example 2: Impulsive and Corrective Moves

Impulsive & Corrective moves 2ndskiesforex

Now what do impulsive and corrective moves teach us about price action context?

They give us an underlying sense of what the dominant order flow is. If you see a potential trend in place, along with a good series of impulsive and corrective moves, then you can feel confident the overall price action context is bullish, and thus you should be looking to buy more often than sell.

Now instead of waiting for a pin bar, fakey or some other 1-2 bar confirmation price action signal, look at the impulsive and corrective moves for trade opportunities as they will often offer you many.

You don’t need a 1-2 bar candlestick pattern to know if the market is bullish – just determine the overall ‘context’, and trade with the impulsive and corrective structure as much as possible.

NOTE: If you want to learn how to find high probability trade setups using impulsive and corrective moves, check out our Trading Masterclass course.

The bottom line is – many of those 1-2 bar candlestick patterns (pin bars, fakey’s, inside bars, etc) don’t form that often. Yet if there is a strong trend in place, why are you waiting for a pattern that may never materialize, when the overall order flow is already bullish?

Get into that trend and make some money. Just make sure the price action context is in your favor. A great way to determine this is to make sure you can read the impulsive and corrective moves.

The most favorable situation is when you are trading in the direction of the impulsive moves (not against them) because you’re trading with the dominant order flow in the market. It also means you can make money faster because impulsive moves travel farther and faster than corrective moves.

Hopefully you can now see how price action context, particularly spotting the impulsive and corrective moves, can give help you find better trade setups.

Want To Learn More About Price Action Context?

While impulsive and corrective moves are a crucial part to determining price action context, they are not the whole. We have two other key factors to determining price action context and what the dominant order flow is in the market.

To learn more about these two, check out our Trading Masterclass Course where we teach you higher, lower and multiple time frame context with clear rules to understanding them. In fact, our entire 1st section of lessons is dedicated specifically towards understanding price action context.

To get access to these lessons within minutes, click here. Inside the course, you’ll also learn how to read other critical (or more advanced) price action structures and find more trade setups.

Keep in mind, trading with price action context is a skill that works on any instrument, time frame or environment. If you’re learning a price action strategy or approach that only works on specific time frames, then it’s a limited strategy that doesn’t really understand price action or PA context.

Until then – I look forward to your comments and feedback.

What’s Inside?

  • The 4 stages to becoming a millionaire trader
  • What is the most important stage to making money trading?
  • What trading and mindset skills you need to become a profitable trader?

Since February of 2018, I’ve been envisioning how I want to build a complete trader training program that will teach you the stages, skills and mindset you’ll need to build to become a highly profitable trader who can pull a million dollars out of the market. I actually started working on this article over 6 months ago, and it has finally come to fruition.

If there was only one trading article you could read on my site, this would be it, so grab the popcorn as it’s a heavy hitter.

The goal of this article is to teach you about the 4 stages to becoming a millionaire trader. It’s designed to be a roadmap and structure for how to get from where you are now (likely struggling) to becoming a professional trader who can make a million dollars trading the markets.

millionaire-trader 2ndskiesforex

Before I get into the stages and roadmap, I have to explain a fundamental component and basis for this article.

Buddhism And Trading?

For the last 18 years, I’ve been training in Tibetan Buddhism, particularly in the Nyingma tradition. One of the amazing components of training in Buddhism is the ‘structure‘ and ‘stages‘ they clearly lay out for you. And a fundamental aspect of Buddhist practice has to do with the following formula:

Base, Path & Fruit

To explain this simply, the ‘base‘ is the starting point and foundation you build everything else upon.

It’s a fundamental level of direct experience and understanding you need to have to complete a specific aspect of your training. It’s arriving at the base which is what makes any practice, training or method work. Without this, you’re just wasting your time.

Keep in mind, it is not something you can arrive at ‘conceptually‘. What I mean by this is, it’s not something you can just read in a book and understand. You have to have the actual direct experience before you can progress any further.

Think of it like this:

Who would you trust more? Someone who’s lived in Buenos Aires (Argentina) their whole life, and knows the city, streets, traffic patterns, restaurants, various barrios, how ‘corruption’ affects their daily business, local customs, etc? Or someone who’s spent the last several years ‘reading‘ about Buenos Aires, looking things up on google, and watched youtube videos about it?

I’m guessing every time you’ll take the former hands down, which you’ll notice has nothing to do with ‘intelligence’. The person who’s lived in the city has a ‘direct experiential‘ knowledge about Buenos Aires that cannot be read in a book, watched in a video, or learned ‘conceptually’. It has to be a direct experience!

The same goes for the ‘base’ in trading. If it’s not a direct experience, you simply cannot progress any further. This is what I mean by ‘base’.

The ‘Path‘ is the practice, methods and training you use to get you to the direct experience. It needs to be a specific path which takes you from point A to B.

The path needs to be very specific and clearly demonstrated to produce real results.

The ‘Fruit‘ is what you get when you fully complete the ‘path‘ by using those practices, methods and trainings. It’s the ‘result‘ of what you get when you do the work, and it also should be specific.

If you have the base in place, then you can begin the journey. If not, you’ll need to arrive at the base (just like you have to arrive at ‘base camp’ to climb Mount Everest), before you can proceed any further. There is absolutely no way to skip steps here.

This entire training and article is built upon these principles of Base, Path and Fruit. Simply put, if you follow the structure I’m laying out here for you, your progression will naturally follow and you’ll see the results in your trading performance, mental execution and mindset.

Each of the 4 stages to becoming a professional trader has it’s own ‘Base, Path and Fruit’. Before you can progress to the 2nd stage, you’ll have to complete the first. There is no way around this! So if your goal is to make a million dollars trading, you’ll want to go straight for the first stage.

Becoming A Millionaire Trader (Stage 1)

The very first stage to becoming a millionaire trader is what I call the ‘Stage of Discipline‘.

The ‘base’ of this stage is having the direct experience and realization that:

a) your brain is currently not wired to trade successfully
b) you’ve had the experience of how your mind, emotions, and skill-set are currently not sufficient to consistently make money
c) have a real passion for trading, and
d) a mindset focused on growth

If you have those 4 things in place, you have the sufficient ‘base’ to begin the first stage.

By now, you’ve probably witnessed how your emotions affect your trading decisions (FOMO, not pulling the trigger, fear of losing money, risking too much/too little, etc). You’ve probably also noticed how you’re not consistently disciplined in your approach (system hopping, changing instruments, not sticking to your trading plan, etc).

Sound familiar?

If you’ve realized what you’re doing isn’t working, and that you’re lacking certain skills + training, but still have a passion to make money trading + are focused on growth, then congratulations – you’ve arrived at the base of the first stage. You’ve accepted the fact you (by yourself) cannot make this work, that you need a trading mentor + build new habits to succeed.

If you’re here, then you’re ready to actually begin the first stage, which is the stage of discipline.

The only thing you need to pack in your bags from here on out is a commitment to getting past this first stage. You don’t need to have the commitment to become a billionaire trader. Just having the commitment and openness to train is the minimal requirements to begin the first stage. Consider this stage to be your ‘apprenticeship‘ in becoming a successful trader.

The ‘fruit’ of the 1st stage of discipline is ‘consistency‘. If you don’t have consistency, you’ll never a) succeed in trading, and b) make it to the 2nd stage.

I say ‘consistency‘ is the ‘fruit’ of this stage, because it’s what you get when you have a solid level of discipline in place. Without this, there is no progression in trading, and you’ll continue to make the same mistakes over and over and over again.

Does this sound like your current experience?

Thus, discipline is what helps you exit out of that cycle (repeating the same mistakes). It’s the force which allows you to break through your current bad habits around trading. It’s what allows you to execute the same things over and over again, regardless of the emotions you feel, or obstacles you come against.

Consider discipline a type of ‘armor‘ against that which will knock you off your horse and derail your progress. Essentially, it protects you against yourself, and is absolutely necessary in trading..

From my experience, both in Buddhism, and in trading, it actually has to get worse before you give up your current approach (which likely isn’t working). You actually have to suffer to the point you realize “I no longer want to suffer like this. I’m open to trying it differently.” This realization creates the first real opening for you to get out of that vicious cycle of repeating the same mistakes over and over again.

The ‘path‘ of the stage of discipline is the most intricate and nuanced part of your trading progression. It’s the hardest part of the mountain to climb, and requires the most effort on your part. This is because you’re going to be fighting against much of what you currently are, which by definition, is insufficient to consistently make money trading. If you were already there, you’d be doing it.

The ‘path’ has to consist of a series of methods and skills (trading and mindset wise) you’ll need to build to get to the ‘fruit’.

Practices & Methods For the Stage of Discipline

As stated before, the goal or fruit of the stage of discipline is consistency. This means consistency in your execution, decision making process, trading strategies you are using, what instruments you trade, risk management, etc.

Consistency, however, has a ‘root cause‘, meaning the root of what it grows out of. As I’ve stated before, consistency can only come from the mind. If you do not have consistent thoughts, thinking patterns, neurological structures, mindset, (etc) there will be no consistency in your trading. Hence your focus for building ‘consistency’ has to primarily consist of (and begin with) your mind.

If you are currently not experiencing any sort of consistency in your trading, then congratulations, you’ve discovered the root cause of your inconsistency (your mind). Now your initial goal in trading and becoming consistent may seem counter-intuitive, but I’m guessing you’ll find it makes sense when you fully understand it.

Your initial goal in trading should be to become a ‘consistentlylosing trader. Now many of you are likely thinking “I consistently lose now, why would I want this?” While that may be true in ‘form’, it’s not true in ‘essence’. What I mean by this is, while you may be consistently losing money, there are likely many components of your performance which are not ‘consistent’.

Some of these components can be:

  1. Risk Management – are you consistently risking the same % per trade? If not, then you’re not ‘losing consistently’.
  2. Trading Instruments – are you consistently trading the same instruments till you have a sufficient baseline to make a quantifiable decision? If not, then you’re not ‘losing consistently’
  3. Times of the day – are you consistently trading the same times of the day? If not, then you’re not ‘losing consistently’
  4. Pre-trade preparation – are you consistently preparing mentally for your trading day with the same routine? If not, you’re not ‘losing consistently’
  5. Pre-trade analysis – do you have the same consistent routines and methods (price action, ichimoku cloud trading, etc) for finding trading setups? If not, then you’re not ‘losing consistently’
  6. Post-trade analysis – do you have the same consistent routines and methods for analyzing your completed trades? If not, you’re not ‘losing consistently’
  7. Reinforcing successful trading habits – do you have the same consistent routines and methods for reinforcing successful trading habits? If not, then you’re not ‘losing consistently’
  8. Trading plan – do you have a detailed trading plan which has clear instructions for how to trade, how to train, and how to progress in your trading? If not, then you’re not ‘losing consistently’

I could go on as there are many other variables you’ll need to ‘lose consistently’, but my guess is, when you read the above and really take it all in, you’ll realize that you’ve been ‘losing money’ consistently, but not ‘losing consistently’. There a difference.

It takes discipline and a courage to say “I’m going to focus on consistently losing”, just like it takes discipline and commitment to not hit the target consistently in archery. But that is your initial goal in archery (not just hitting the target), but ‘consistency’ in your technique, process and movements. If there is no consistency in your stance, alignment, breathing, holding of the riser (main bow structure), how you grip the bow string, how far you pull it back, etc…there will be no consistency in where your arrows land.

(Image: Brady Ellison – #1 US Archer – Recurve Bow)

Trading is no different!

Hence in sounding somewhat masochistic, your initial goal in the first stage of discipline is to learn to ‘lose consistently’. By doing this, you’re building the foundation which the entire house you want to build will rest upon. Then you can focus on being a consistently break-even trader. Then you can focus on being a consistently profitable trader.

But before all this, you’ll need to focus on building the prerequisite trading skills, which can be defined as the following:

1) Trading Methodology & Approach

There are only 4 major trading methodologies, or approaches to the markets. They can be any of the following; 1) technical, 2) fundamental, 3) sentiment, 4) flow based.

Now any one of these can fall into broad categories, such as (discretionary, rule-based, hybrid, quantitative).

The approach I teach is a ‘technical‘ model based upon understanding price action context and the order flow behind it. I teach this method because it can be applied to any instrument, time frame or environment, and is based upon what all trading decisions are based upon (*information).

Regardless of whether you are a technical, fundamental, sentiment or flow based trader, all trading decisions are derived from ‘information’. Eventually that information has to be converted into an actual trade (and thus order). All ‘activated’ orders become ‘actualized’ order flow. And order flow is the most proximate driver of price action.

This is why I teach price action context and the order flow behind it, because I’m teaching you a ‘root’ method which communicates the footprint of all orders and trading decisions. By understanding these, you can give yourself the highest probability for trading with the dominant order flow in the market, which is what drives all price action. By doing this, you can learn to trade with the larger players who will most likely dominate directional price movements (which is what we want to capitalize on).

price-action-2ndskiesforex

Price Action Trading Skills

There are many price action trading skills you’ll need to build, and it is important not to learn these skills out of order. I often find traders trying to learn more advanced skills before they’ve built a solid set of foundational skills. One common example is struggling traders trying to trade counter trend before they’ve learned to trade with trend (with the latter being easier).

Now assuming you understand what candlestick charts are, time frames, and what the basics of price action are, then you’ll need to build your core skills of price action. In price action trading, the first set of ‘core’ skills you’ll need to learn is what I call the 3 pillars of price action context.

I’ve talked about the first pillar of price action context, which is being able to identify impulsive and corrective moves. The reason why this is the base pillar is it gives you the most amount (and most nuanced) information about the price action and order flow happening right now.

It tells you who’s in control of the market (buyers/sellers), and who’s not. It tells you how to read momentum in the price action without any indicators. It tells you when are optimal times to take profit, and not take profit. It tells you when you’ll need to be patient, and when you need to make a quick decision. It tells you when trading breakouts are more likely (or more probable) to occur, and when they are less likely to succeed.

impulsive-and-corrective-price-action 2ndskiesforex

There is a lot more impulsive and corrective moves can tell you about price action, but by learning these, you start to learn how to think like a price action trader, and see the dominant order flow behind it. This is why it’s the first pillar. If you want to learn about the other two pillars of price action context and the order flow behind it, then check out my price action course where we talk about this extensively.

Now before you can even practice these skills and making actual trading decisions, you’ll need to first be able to identify (with 90+% accuracy) these 3 pillars of price action context. My formula for how to build your trading skills (and price action skills) is simple:

Sim, then Demo, then Live

What this means is, after you’ve watched videos and understood (conceptually) the components of an impulsive and corrective move, you’ll want to start building your pattern recognition skills in the charts. You build these pattern recognition skills so you can identify them automatically, and thus, sub-consciously.

If you’ve ever looked at a chart and had the thoughts, “Is this a such and such pattern? I’m not sure, how do I know? I know it said it has to have x, y and z, but is this part the same, or is it different…

Have you had this experience before? If so, then your skills are not ‘sub-conscious‘. The reason why this is important is you want to use your cognitive thinking, analysis and bandwidth for finding profitable trade setups. If you have all those thoughts going through your mind, then congratulations – you’ve now realized your skills are not sub-conscious, so that should be your next goal.

By starting with a trading simulator, you can have the opportunity to watch the price action unfold, pause it, take time to read it correctly, then resume the historical price action on the chart unfold.

trading simulator 2ndskiesforex

This is why sim is the best place to start, because on demo, the charts just keep moving on whether you got the analysis correct or not. Just like pilots start off in a flight simulator to make sure they have the basic functional skills to fly a plane, you also need to start off on a simulator.

By looking over thousands of candles and charts in a short period of time via a trading simulator, you can increase your learning curve, and accelerate your pattern recognition skills, particularly being able to identify impulsive and corrective price action.

Once you’ve seen enough impulsive and corrective moves, your brain will eventually assimilate these patterns into its database, and be able to identify them on any instrument, time frame or environment with ease (and without doubt).

After you’ve mastered all 3 pillars individually, the next step is to assimilate them together into one cohesive picture (or gestalt). The goal here is to be able to easily identify all three of the pillars of price action context, then be able to come up with a ‘most probable’ direction of the market.

I say ‘most probable’ because this is a mindset you’ll need to develop to make it out of the first stage of trading. Beginners try to use ‘confirmation price action signals‘ because they think they ‘confirm’ the trade and direction. But 1, 2 or 3 candles is a small amount of price action + order flow, and rarely ever dictates the next move (~1% of the time).

Hence you have to shift your mindset from ‘confirming‘ (because there is no certainty in the market) to ‘probabilities‘, because probabilities is all you are ever dealing with. There is no certainty, and never will be when it comes to price action and the next direction. This is why I say confirmation price action signals will crush your account. If these so called ‘confirmation price action signals’ actually ‘confirmed’ anything, there would be ample statistics and data to back that up. Yet nobody to date has been able to provide this (which should tell you everything you need to know about them).

Now while you’re building your core price action trading skills, you’ll also need to build your mindset skills. To succeed in trading, you’ll need a successful mindset which will keep you on track when things are challenging, and help you execute what you need to when your trades and emotions are really affecting your thoughts and trading decisions.

Mindset Skills to Build Consistency In Your Mind

If you’re working towards consistency in your mind, there are several core mind/mindset skills you’ll need to build. For the purposes of brevity and not turning this into a long novel, we’ll talk about the 3 most important mindset skills you’ll need to build consistency in your mind and make money trading.

The first mindset skill you’ll want to build is understanding how the brain works. By understanding how your brain and mind work, you can accelerate your learning process by working with how your brain functions, not against it.

One of the most fundamental aspects of the brain is its ability to re-wire itself. This principle is called neuroplasticity. 

Neuroplasticity can be summed up by the following phrase:

“Neurons that fire together, wire together”

Neurons are the basic neural cells you have in your brain. They connect to each other through axons and dendrites. By connecting to each other, they can pass information via electrical signals.

If you want to wire in a new trading habit, you’ll have to activate neural circuits which do this over and over again. By doing this over and over again, they strengthen those connections till they become ‘dominantly wired‘. Another term for ‘dominantly wired’ is ‘habit‘. Anything you have dominantly wired in your brain is a habit. So by firing the same neurons together, they wire together and form specific habits you’ll want and need to build a successful mindset.

This is where understanding how the brain works helps.

There are 7 components to neuroplasticity, but there is one fundamental ‘root‘ component behind all neurological wiring: Repetition.

By repeating the same thing (and thinking pattern) over and over again, you can wire in the trading habits you’re looking for.

It’s why basketball players will shoot free throws every day in practice. It’s why quarterbacks (American football) will practice throwing the football over and over again, so that their mechanics are automatic and sub-conscious. It’s why Bruce Lee said “I fear the man who practices one kick 10,000 times“, because such a person has that has practiced a kick 10,000x likely can throw it with speed, precision and power.

Repetition is the most fundamental building block to wiring new trading habits. Thus, understanding how the brain works is a fundamental mindset skill you’ll need to develop.

The second mindset skill you’ll need to build is what I call the GBT mindset. GBT = getting better today (also known as a ‘growth’ mindset).

growth-mindset 2ndskiesforex

Notice the focus here isn’t ‘profitable trading now‘. It’s a trading mindset that works every single day to get better. By getting better today at your skills, you eventually build enough skills and competence to make money trading.

The GBT mindset is one that is focused on the process, and has a well designed process + skills + goals they are focused on. The process aspect is the methods and plan of action you engage to build your skills, which allow you to reach your goals.

If you’re just focusing on the results “dang, I’m still not profitable yet“, then you’re jumping too far ahead and not focused on what you need to succeed (skills: 1) technical, 2) risk management and 3) mindset). Hence your ‘goal’ right now if you’re not a profitable trader should be to build the skills to make money trading.

This is why you need the GBT mindset, and an approach which focuses on building your skills step by step, and getting better today at your current level of skills. Then once these are sub-conscious, you take on the next challenge.

The third mindset skill you’ll need to build to become a consistently profitable trader is ‘self-awareness‘.

Now I’m not saying you have to become a zen monk to become a good trader. But you’ll need to develop a minimum level of self-awareness to make money trading.

Why?

Because if you really understand how the brain works, you’ll realize you are actually fighting your own brain and evolution to build a successful trading mindset.

How so?

Let me demonstrate this with a few key brain facts:

  1. You have about 500% more neurons for finding the negative vs the positive
  2. You are more likely to choose an immediate reward (even if it is a lesser reward) than delay gratification (for a larger reward)
  3. Your emotions heavily influence how you interpret (and code) an experience, memory or event

Now lets examine these 3 brain facts.

The first one should be obvious as to how it can affect your trading. If you are 5x more likely to notice the negative vs the positive, what do you think that means when you make a mistake, or a trade starts to go against you? How do you think that will affect your thinking in real time when you have to make clear, calm trading decisions? Do you think it will help, or hurt your decision making process?

Ever experienced a trade that was a winner but starts to go against you? Were you totally relaxed, or feeling ‘stress’ when it started to pull back? And do you think that stress affected your analysis and decision making? This tendency to notice the negative vs the positive is called the negativity bias.

What about the 2nd brain fact? Ever chose to exit a winning trade too early? This is your brain working against you. If you’re more likely to choose a lesser immediate reward, don’t you think that will become problematic in making decisions which will lead toward long term success and trading habits?

In terms of the 3rd brain fact regarding emotions, just think about the majority of emotions you’ve experienced in trading. Have they been mostly positive or negative? Have they mostly helped or hurt your trading process, thinking and mindset? Do you even know how to use emotions to your advantage in trading? My guess is no.

Hopefully it is becoming clear why self-awareness is key. You can determine if the self-talk that’s going through your mind is accurate (“something doesn’t feel right about this trade“), misleading (FOMO, fear of pulling the trigger, etc), or not important (“I wonder how many people liked my last tweet”).

By building self-awareness, particularly around trading, you can learn to know when you need to stick to your discipline and/or trust your gut instincts. You can also learn how to self-regulate your mind, emotions and psychophysiology so you can make the most optimal trading decisions.

Simply put, if your biology and psychophysiology is off (heart rate, breathing, skin conductance, etc), the chances of you making a bad trading decision go up exponentially! And more often than not, the difference between making money trading and losing money trading comes down to the trading mistakes you make.

Becoming A Clutch Performer

The term ‘clutch athlete‘ is actually misleading. When the game is on the line, the statistics are clear. The best performers are not performing at their peak, or above their baseline. They’re actually performing below their baseline. The difference is, they make the least amount of mistakes compared to their baseline, while the non-clutch performers make more. This is why specific athletes are clutch, because when the game is on the line, they make the least amount of mistakes, and thus outperform everyone else.

Trading is a peak performance endeavor that is skill based. There is no way around it!

This means you’ll have to learn how to become self-aware when trading gets intense. If you want to make a million dollars trading, you’ll need the 3 mindset skills I’ve listed above when you have 5 or 6 figures on the line.

By becoming more self-aware, you’ll start to build the psychological and mindset skills to become a consistent trader who makes ‘consistent’ trading decisions, regardless of the pressure or challenges you’re experiencing while trading. You’ll be able to direct your cognitive and mental activity in the right direction, while avoiding getting swept up by your emotions, or negative self-talk.

There are many ‘methods’ and practices you can use to build self-awareness. I teach several of these in my traders mindset course. But one method we focus on in our traders mindset course is meditation, which is scientifically proven to help improve your neurological and cognitive performance in a variety of trading activities.

meditation for trading 2ndskiesforex

I’ve been practicing meditation since 2000, done over 10,000 hours of meditation practice. I’ve completed a 1 year meditation retreat. I’ve completed 3 one month retreats, about 150+ weekend meditation retreats, and trained with the same meditation teacher since 2001. Needless to say, it seems fair to say I have a ‘solid’ training in meditation.

I recognized early on how important meditation is to my trading mindset, and thus created a 12 lesson meditation series specifically for traders. The goal of this practice is to build self-awareness, increase your emotional IQ, and help you enhance your brain’s functioning, which meditation has been scientifically proven to do. If you want to learn more about how to use meditation to become a better trader, then check out my traders mindset course.

Now there are many techniques you can use to build a successful trading mindset, but these are three most ‘fundamental‘ I’d highly recommend you focus on. There are other mindset skills you’ll need to complete the first stage of trading (discipline) and get to the fruit (consistency), which could take me an entire book to write and flesh out. But I feel I’ve given you a glimpse of the first stage of trading.

Getting Past the Hardest Stage (*And Not Jumping Ahead)

From my experience in working with thousands of traders, helping many traders become profitable, I’ve seen how every trader which has failed to become a profitable trader has never completed the first stage. They’ve either a) never built the mindset skills to become a ‘consistent’ trader, b) never built the core foundational skills, or c) tried to skip various aspects of both.

From all the students I’ve trained that have become profitable traders, they’ve all completed the first stage without fail. I’ve yet to meet a profitable trader who is able to make money consistently while skipping the first stage. There is no way around it!

Now if you want to learn about the other 3 stages to becoming a million dollar trader, I’m doing a private member webinar this weekend (Dec. 22nd) for all my course members. After the webinar, I’ll be making this webinar available to all my members so they can follow this road map and become consistent traders.

If you want to learn how to become a member, click here.

Now I hope you’ve gotten a tremendous amount of value out of this article, and use it as a guide and road map to your successful and profitable trading.

Please make sure to leave a comment, and share this with any friends or forums you feel will benefit from learning about the stages to becoming a million dollar trader.

Until then, may you see real growth in your trading and mindset.

Here is a live interview Chris Capre did on price action trading and order flow tactics with Etienne Crete from Desire to Trade. In this interview, Chris Capre talks about how you can use price action context to glean the underlying order flow in the market, making sure you’re trading with the institutional traders, and the dominant order flow in the market. We specifically talk about how impulsive and corrective price action can help you discover the underlying order flow in the market, and how to trade higher time frames and lower time frames together.

Read more

What’s Inside Today’s Trading Article?

  • Let’s talk about breakout strategies
  • What are some consistent breakout patterns?
  • When trading breakout patterns, how can I avoid false breaks?

Ever heard the statements “most breakouts fail” or “you should avoid trading breakouts“?

Let me just put the kibosh on that by sharing with you Exhibit A.

Behold…Exhibit A – winner of the 2017 World Cup Futures Championship, Stefano Serafini, who won with an impressive +217% return (see below).

stefano serafini breakout trader 2ndskiesforex

What was Stefano Serafini’s main trading strategy to generate such an impressive return? Trading intra-day breakouts!

So do me a favor, the next time you see some fake trading guru telling you “most breakouts fail” or “you should avoid trading breakouts“, please share the link to this post.

For today’s article, I’m going to share with you two breakout strategies to help increase your accuracy & profitability in trading breakouts. I’m also going to share how you can use this to avoid any false breaks and getting stopped out.

Let’s jump in.

Breakout Strategies

While there are many types of breakout strategies you can classify breakout trades into two broad categories:

  1. The momentum breakout setup
  2. The breakout pullback setup

For today’s breakout trade article, we’re going to focus on the second breakout strategy (breakout pullback setup) as it’s much easier for traders to learn and execute because it requires less skill.

NOTE: If you want to learn how to trade momentum breakout setups, then check out my Trading Masterclass course where I teach you how to trade this for maximum profit.

The Breakout Pullback Setup

Before you can even make a breakout pullback setup, you’ll need to identify some of the consistent breakout patterns that manifest in the price action.

By learning these, you’ll be able to identify A+ setups which will increase your accuracy and profitability in trading them.

There are many things you can do to identify an A+ breakout pullback setup, but there are 2 things I’ll give you to work with for now.

Breakout Pattern #1 – Finding a key support or resistance level with a minimum of two touches

Why two touches?

While the market may hit a key support or resistance level once, which indicates at least some potential order flow and institutional players wanting to hold that level, two touches indicates a greater probability and amount of order flow behind that level.

trading forex breakouts 2 touches 2ndskiesforex

The more buyers/sellers you have at that level, the greater the chance the breakout trade will succeed.

Why?

One reason is those same players who, when they get stopped out after their support or resistance level is broken, them getting stopped out clears out some of the order flow against that breakout, thus making it easier for the breakout to continue.

On top of this, smart money players after they’ve been taken out (and spot a good breakout) will often flip sides after they get stopped out, thus providing further momentum to your breakout trade.

Hence it’s important to identify a level that has a minimum of two touches (the more, then better) to increase your probability of a breakout setup forming.

Breakout Pattern #2 – A reduction in the reactions (or pullbacks from that support/resistance level)

Why does a reduction in the pullback from a key support or resistance level help your breakout trades?

Let’s say the market is in a bull trend and it’s encountering a resistance level where there are likely bears with offers up at that level. If the bulls hit the resistance level the first time, and the market pulls back say 50 pips, then when the 2nd time the price action hits that resistance level, the market only pulls back say 25 pips, this indicates a weaker reaction by the bears at the level.

A weaker pullback from the bears = less order flow and strength on their side. As their side continues to weaken, this a) gives the bulls more confidence a breakout is becoming more likely, and b) communicates their side is losing the battle.

Looking at our prior chart, notice how the reactions/pullbacks to the resistance level were weaker the 2nd time around?

trading forex breakouts two touches 2ndskiesforex

Those weaker reactions were communicating how the bears were less able to push back while the bulls kept their foot on the gas, producing an eventual breakout.

Below is another good example of the two touches + weaker reactions to the resistance level on the USDJPY, producing a +125 pip breakout.

forex breakout setups 2ndskiesforex

Hence, make sure to look for weaker reactions each time off a key support or resistance level to identify a high probability breakout.

Key Tip: One additional pattern you can apply in the price action is to look for breakout setups that are forming with trend vs counter trend.

Now that I’ve shown you two underlying components of a breakout strategy, let’s talk about how you can get in on a breakout pullback setup.

The Breakout Pullback Setup

Assuming you’ve found a situation whereby you have the minimum two touches off a key support or resistance level, along with weaker reactions to the level each time, let’s talk about how you can get into a breakout pullback setup and how I trade it.

Once the market and price action has closed above your key support or resistance level, I’ll place a limit order on that particular support or resistance level to trade in the direction of the breakout.

NOTE: I am not waiting for a confirmation price action signal to form on that level. If you’ve read the price action context correctly, and found a legitimate breakout, any confirmation price action signal will only give you a weaker entry, and thus reduce your profitability.

If you learn to read the price action correctly, you won’t need any confirmation price action signal to get in the market, because the underlying order flow from the big players will already be there.

When I’m trading a breakout pullback setup, once I’ve qualified the breakout, I’m placing my order to get long/short on a pullback to the level.

If the order flow at that level is legit, there will be larger players willing to get long/short at that level without the need for any pin bar, inside bar or ridiculous tailed bar.

Case in point, watch this video on me doing a live breakout pullback trade on the NZDUSD for +100 pips of profit with only a 29 pip stop loss.

Notice how there were two touches on the support level near 6625, along with each bounce getting weaker. Once the market broke through the level, I placed my order to get short.

After pulling back to my level, and barely going negative, the pair took off for over +100 pips of profit.

Had you waited for any confirmation price action pin bar signal, you would have a) gotten a worse entry, and b) had less profit potential.

You can see another example of a live trade using a pyramiding trading strategy where I get in on the breakout pullback setup to the level on both trades, stacking onto the same with trend move for extra profit.

After watching the two videos, hopefully these examples give you a good idea of how to trade the breakout pullback setup.

How to Avoid False Breaks?

There is a lot that can be said about avoiding false breaks when trading the breakout pullback setup, and there are many breakout patterns that often fail.

false breakout patterns

To keep it simple, the best thing you can do is:

a) learn to read price action context, and

b) trade with trend as much as possible

By learning to read price action context, you’ll have a better grasp at finding key support and resistance levels where there is a lot of order flow around that level. You’ll also be better able to spot with trend environments, which are much more favorable for breakout trade setups. This is because there is a greater amount of order flow in your favor to support your trade.

In Summary

To recap, trading forex breakout patterns can be a highly profitable trading strategy when you learn to identify A+ breakout setups. There are two classifications of breakouts, which are a) the momentum breakout setup, and b) the breakout pullback setup.

There are also key breakout patterns you can spot in the price action which will help you find higher probability breakout trades.

In the beginning, try to trade breakout pullback setups as they require less skills, and will help you build your confidence in trading breakouts over time.

Lastly, when trading the breakout pullback setup, make sure NOT to wait for confirmation price action signals as they’ll give you a worse entry (trade location) and reduce your profitability.

Now Your Turn

What did you learn from this article that helped you with trading breakouts in the forex market (or any market for that matter)?

Did you find this useful and give you some increased confidence to trade breakouts?

Are you currently trading breakouts and struggling?

Please make sure to leave your feedback and comments to help us create better trading articles and content for you.

Until then, may good trading setups and karma be with you.

Kind Regards,
Chris Capre

Watch a live price action breakout pullback setup for +110 points (+2R) on the FTSE 100. In this forex trade video, the first thing I establish is my trading ‘framework‘ which is the process and format I go about choosing my price action trade setups. Then I talk about the price action context and how that helps me establish what trading strategies I want to use. Once I have this, I show you how I pick my entry,  stop loss placement and take profit. If you want to learn to make trade setups like this, check out my price action course where you get access to our members trade setups forum, private member webinars, trader quizzes, and a free ‘trading analytics‘ session with me where I do 20+ metrics on your trading and give you actionable insights on increasing your accuracy and profitability.

Read more

What’s Inside?

A key topic that orbits around price action trading is “how do I trade with candlestick wick patterns in the forex market?” The problem with this question is it comes with some misunderstandings about price action, order flow and what wicks really communicate.

The goal of today’s article is to give you a new perspective on trading price action wicks that most ‘internet gurus‘ won’t tell you. It is to give you an understanding of candlesticks, what they communicate and how to relate and trade them.

Understanding Candlesticks

We’ll give you this understanding and how to trade with candlesticks through 4 key points on forex price action wicks.

But before we get into trading wicks, we have to understand the foundation of where our approach comes from.

Key Point #1: The Difference Between Price Action & Candlestick Trading

I approach trading from a particular perspective that a) order flow is the proximate driver of price action, and b) all activated orders in the market are based upon ‘information‘.

NOTE: If you want to learn more about how I trade price action context, click here.

But to simplify it, trading price action ‘context‘ is trading the overall ‘structures‘ or ‘Gestalt‘ of the market. And you cannot get this through 1, 2 or 3 candles.

price action trading-sp500-sep-22-2ndskiesforex

People who trade based upon 1, 2 or 3 candlestick patterns, such as pin bars, or fakey’s, or engulfing bars are candlestick traders.

Fun Fact: The fakey pattern or setup, is really called the Hikkake pattern, given that name decades ago, which today many forex ‘gurus’ have renamed to make them sound like their own.

Regardless, candlestick pattern traders are not ‘price action traders‘. They are ‘candlestick traders’. Essentially, candlestick pattern traders believe 1, 2 or 3 candlesticks define the price action context and order flow in the market, and thus give you trade setups.

But ask yourself, why do many key support or resistance levels hold without a pin bar rejection. Why would it do that if the pin bar is such a superior tool for recognizing and ‘confirming‘ whether the key support or resistance level will hold? Why do banks, hedge funds, and prop traders place orders at particular prices well before a pin bar has ever formed, and not based upon the New York close daily charts?

NOTE: If you want to learn why a typical pin bar entry is a retail entry, click here.

When you start to ask these questions, the foundation for trading pin bars and candlestick patterns breaks down. That leaves you with trying to understand the underlying order flow in the market. And you do this by learning to read and trade price action context.

This is how we approach the market.

Now that we have this foundation, we can move on to how do we relate to forex price action wicks (or any wicks)?

Key Point #2: All Wicks Are Rejections of Value

When you look at the essence of what a wick represents in terms of the price action and order flow, you come to the conclusion that all wicks are a communication. They communicate that the order flow was rejecting that pricing and value.

If the market accepted it, it would close there, and remain there.

However, there is a ‘but’ in there. The ‘but’ is while wicks in the forex market = a rejection of value, they are not for defined periods of time or defined moves in pips.

What I mean by ‘not for defined periods of time‘ is a) beyond the close of their candle, and b) they are not going to define how long the market will reject that move or value from that moment forward.

What does give you this information? Price action context.

The goal of price action context is to give you a ‘probabilistic framework‘ for what the market is more likely to do. Wicks will not give you this information, nor give you a probabilistic framework for how to trade this.

Hence you have to come back to price action context.

price action context 2ndskiesforex

The most essential point to understand here is forex price action wicks (or any wicks) = a rejection, but we cannot understand how that rejection will manifest, so we have to take these as a grain of salt.

What this also means is that 1, 2 or 3 candlestick wicks will not ‘confirm’ a rejection of a specific kind (which is what we want if we’re going to trade said ‘confirmation’ or rejection).

If you want to understand why confirmation price action signals will crush your account, click here.

Key Point #3: Opening And Closing Of Candlesticks Do (And Do Not Matter)

Wait a minute, how can the opening and closing of candlesticks ‘matter’ and ‘not matter’? Let me explain.

In very ‘particular’ circumstances, the opening and closing of candlesticks will matter. Such as:

  1. if you are trading some sort of ‘opening’ gap strategy
  2. if you are trading specific types of breakouts
  3. if you are trading specific candlestick patterns

candlstick wicks rejection 2ndskiesforex

There could be a few more circumstances, but by and large, the majority of time, the opening and closing of candlesticks do not matter.

What matters more is order flow and price. This is why most institutions, hedge funds, and prop firms know their price ahead of time, regardless of the close. They know where they want to get in, and where they want to get out, regardless of the candle being open or closed.

Hence the opening and closing of candlesticks matter, but on a limited scale.

Key Point #4: How Do You Trade Forex Price Action Wicks?

There are many ways I relate to forex price action wicks (or any wicks) in my trading, but I’ll give you a couple wick trading strategies below.

Trading Strategy For Wicks #1: With Trend Wicks Will Be More Reliable (or ‘probable’) Trading With Trend vs Counter Trend

If a wick represents on a base level some sort of ‘rejection’, which side is most likely to ‘reject’ the price or value? The with trend players, or counter trend players?

With trend is the answer. With trend players are more often controlling the market and order flow, so they’re more likely to reject a price effectively cause they’re largely in control.

I personally like seeing with trend rejections on pullbacks heading into a level because they are showing a more ‘probabilistic framework’ of order flow in the market.

Below is an example of a good chart showing this on the USDCAD 4hr chart.

forex price action wicks holding with trend 2ndskiesforex

Notice how the majority of the wicks and rejections with trend hold, while the counter-trend rejections fail?

Below is another good example of a chart on the 4hr USDJPY chart.

forex price action wicks holding with trend v2 2ndskiesforex

Hence when trading, if you are trading with trend, wicks rejecting price in your favor make your trade more ‘probable’, while trading counter trend are less ‘probable’.

If you wan to learn more about trading with a probabilistic mindset, click here.

Trading Strategy For Wicks #2: Clean Wick Rejections Off Key Support or Resistance Levels Are Best

What do you mean by a ‘clean’ rejection or wick off of a key support or resistance level?

While I relate to support and resistance as ‘zones‘ of order flow, sometimes they line up super well to where you can clearly see price is rejecting off a very specific price and value.

Case in point, take a look at the USDCAD 4hr chart from mid-October last year to mid-Jan this year (~3 mos).

super clean rejections wicks off of resistance 2ndskiesforex

You can see in the chart above, the price action rejected off of the key resistance level near 1.2913 six times in a 3 month period with almost every rejection happening within a few pips of each other, and the biggest break being only 7 pips.

When price rejects very ‘cleanly‘ off of a key support or resistance level, they become more ‘probable‘ of a legitimate rejection.

Not all charts and key levels will look like this, but they do often in many price action structures, and can be good for building your ‘probabilistic framework‘ for understanding price action context and the order flow behind it.

You can see another example of this below with the USDJPY daily chart.

clean rejections wicks off of resistance 2ndskiesforex

Notice how 3 of the 4 rejections were almost at the same price with only one breaking by a small amount?

There are many other ways to understand wicks and rejections in the price action, but these are two good methods to work with that I use personally and trade profitably with my own money.

In Summary

Forex price action trading wicks (or wicks in any market) are important to understand, particularly from the perspective of order flow and price action context. Wicks ‘communicate‘ at a base level ‘rejection‘, but they do not by nature determine any rejection to follow through.

However there are ways you can use wicks in your trading price action, particularly the two methods I mentioned:

  1. with trend wicks add to your ‘probabilistic framework’ better than counter trend wicks
  2. clean wick rejections off of key support and resistance levels also add to your ‘probabilistic framework’ for trading

Now Your Turn

What did you learn from this free trading article? Do you feel you understand candlestick trading wicks, rejections and how they work in forex applications?

Make sure to leave your comment below, along with share this via Twitter or Facebook with those you think can benefit from this.

Chris Capre’s current live open price action and ichimoku trades: Silver, NZDJPY

New to Forex? Then check out my FREE Learn Forex Trading Course with videos, quizzes and downloadable resources

Want to learn how to trade breakouts profitably? Check out my latest trading video where I share my favorite pattern for trading breakouts.

NZDCAD – ST Corrective Structure Failing, Potential Bearish Signal (1hr chart)

Price Action Context 

After gaining since the end of August this year, the NZDCAD has stalled and broken below the key support zone in a corrective structure between 8490 and 8440. 

nzdcad corrective structure forex

Trending Analysis

ST we’re bearish while below the 8490 highs and corrective structure bottom. IMO a move towards 8400 and 8350 seems the line of least resistance.

Key Support & Resistance Levels

R: 8440, 8490

S: 8400, 8350

Chris Capre’s current open price action and ichimoku trades: EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDMXN, USDJPY, BIR, TLS

NOTE: Wondering what stage you are at in trading, and how to progress to the next level? Read my latest article The 4 Stages of Becoming A Millionaire Trader.

USDJPY – LT Support Holding For Now (Daily chart)

Price Action Context

Bears did stay in control after breaking below the MT support we mentioned on the 23rd of October, and during the last week, price continued to sell off heavily. But despite the flash crash towards the end of the week, the LT support we’ve talked about in earlier member market commentaries as well seems to be holding for now, with price closing back above the zone ending the week.

Trending Analysis

LT bias remains neutral while inside the LT range and LT traders can look for potential trading opportunities around the top/bottom of the LCS.

Key Support & Resistance Zones [LT]

R: 114.30 – 115.50
S: 107.30 – 108.30

Stay tuned to the members daily trade ideas for updates.

******

OMX30 – Broken Through LT Key Support (Weekly chart)

Price Action Context

The continuation after the bullish reaction to the LT key support level never manifested, and instead bears stepped on the gas, pushing price through the key support and additionally -100 points lower in the process, giving bulls a hard time.

omx-technical-analysis-2ndskiesforex

Trending Analysis

LT bias changed to bearish after the break of the LT support and if bears can stay in control, a move down towards the bottom of the bigger multi-year range is likely IMO. Weak pullbacks towards the broken support which now should act as resistance can offer potential shorting opportunities.

Watch the price action on the daily, 4hr and 1hr charts for potential trade setups.

Key Support & Resistance Zones

R: 20 200 – 21 000
S: 14 800 – 15 900

******

XAGEUR – Broken Back Above LT S/R Zone (Daily chart)

Price Action Context

After bouncing from the multi-year support we’ve talked about in earlier market commentaries, bulls have now pushed the precious metal back above the LT resistance which now should act as support again.

IMO this changes the price action context MT to bullish.

gold-eur-2ndskiesforex-trade-setups

Trending Analysis

LT bias changed to bullish and bulls can look for potential trading opportunities on weak corrective pullbacks into the key support zone.

Key Support & Resistance Zones

R: 14.70 – 15.10
S: 13.10 – 13.50

What You’ll Learn In This Trading Article

-What is psychophysiology?
-How does your biology + psychophysiology make trading hard
-How does your biology + psychophysiology make trading easy

Ever felt really nervous making a trade to the point where you passed on it, even though it was a perfectly good trading setup according to your plan? What about being so angry/upset/frustrated at a prior loss that you revenge trade on the next setup?

On the flip side, how about having a ‘gut feel‘ that your current trade is going to get stopped out, or perhaps a really good setup is forming and you have to jump in? If you’ve experienced these things (I have 1000’s of times), then welcome to how your biology and psychophysiology affects your trading.

In today’s trading article, I’m going to first define what psychophysiology is.

Then I’m going to talk about the ways your biology and psychophysiology make trading hard for you and how it affects your day to day performance.

After that, I’ll talk about how you actually have various biological or psychophysiological traits which can help you become a profitable trader, and how to use them to your advantage.

What Is Psychophysiology?

Psychophysiology is a branch of neuroscience (science of the brain and central nervous system) which shows you how your mental states and biological + physiological responses can affect your mood, higher cognitive skills, analytical abilities, perception, decision making and mental states.

the biology of why you are losing money forex trading

In simple words: the current state of your body + brain affect your mental abilities – abilities which are crucial to making profitable trades and trading decisions.

Think of it as the biology of why you are losing money in forex trading.

This is critical to understand because once you know the various biological/psychophysiological mechanisms, and how they affect your mental abilities, you can employ methods to counteract their negative effects so you don’t make really bad trading decisions.

How Your Biology + Psychophysiology Make Trading Hard

I’m going to start off with an easy one here as it relates to my situation right now. I was having a jolly good time with my friends last night and was up later than usual, which cut my sleep time by 2 hours.

Sleep is incredibly important to your brain and body as it a) allows your brain to detox, rest and cleanse itself, while b) allowing your body to rest/relax while your internal organs are cleaning, and resetting themselves for the next day’s work.

Did you know that in a study by Dr. Walker at the Sleep & Neuroimaging Lab @ UC Berkeley shown how subjects that had less than normal sleep (6hrs) remembered 81% of the words they were exposed to with a negative connotation to them (i.e. anger, fear, loss), while only 31% of the words with a positive connotation to them.

Translation: Getting less sleep than needed triggers a massive bias in your brain towards the negative.

Now with your mind primed to see the negative more than the positive, do you think this will affect your trading decisions and performance? I hope so.

Ever had that experience of a winning trading starting to against you and it immediately feels ‘threatening‘? That’s your biology + psychophysiology working against you and making trading hard. It’s why we are afraid to lose money trading.

FYI…sleep debt is cumulative…so less sleep over an extended period of time really affects your mental capacities and states.

Below are two charts/images showing how sleep debt affects your brain + performance over time.

Image 1: How Less Sleep Leads to Performance Lapses

performance-lapses-from-sleep-deprivation-2ndskiesforex

Image 2: Your Brain on More/Less Sleep

brain-after-sleep-deprivation-image-2-2ndskiesforex

Another example of how your biology + psychophysiology makes trading hard is a fear of a loss. This ‘fear‘ is so ingrained in us it dates back 1000’s of years to our ancestors where survival was a daily fight for food, shelter and safety and a life or death struggle.

The rule was ‘eat lunch, don’t be lunch‘.

Sadly, our ancestors ‘experience‘ was encoded in our DNA, particularly in the DNA of our brains and nervous systems. 10,000 years ago, 1 in every 8 people died from protecting their families. This made us more ‘fearful‘ of ‘threats‘ and created this a ‘negativity bias‘ along with activated our ‘fight, flight or freeze responses’.

negativity bias in trading 2ndskiesforex

NEWS FLASH: Even though it’s the 21st century, and our chances of dying before old age are 1 in 100, we still experience this fight/flight/freeze response to stimuli which are not threatening. Your fear of a loss is an example of it.

In fact, this negativity bias (fear of that which is negative to our life/survival) is so strong in us, we have %500 more neural real estate towards spotting the negative vs the positive!

Do you think that will affect your trading mindset if for every 6 stimuli you receive from the market, 5 of them will be perceived as ‘negative/threatening/harmful‘ vs ‘positive/beneficial’? What do you think that will do to how you perceive changes in the price action context which go against your trade?

psychophysiology of fear 2ndskiesforex

Ever had a day/week/month where you crushed it for most of that time period, and went on a winning streak, but then one loss killed all your profits? Now, of those many trades you took, with the majority of them being winners, which trade do you remember the most? The big loss, or the several wins in a row? My guess is the big loss is what you remember the most.

Another example how this negativity bias can kill your trading performance has to do with neural real estate (how regions of your brain are wired).

Did you know it can take you 5-7 seconds to notice anything positive in your environment vs <.1 seconds to perceive a negative/threatening stimuli? Do you think that will really affect your trading mindset, perceptions and decisions about what is happening with your current open trades? I hope so.

There are 100’s of examples I could get into here, however it should be pretty clear how our biology and psychophysiology make trading hard. Now it’s not all bad, and there is a silver lining in all this.

How Your Biology + Psychophysiology Make Trading Easy

Ironically, even though you have about 5x more neural cells dedicated to finding the negative vs the positive, you also have some aces up your neurological & biological sleeves.

Case in point, your brain has this amazing trait called ‘neuroplasticity‘ which basically means your brain can adapt its wiring based upon your experiences, environment, what you focus on, and what little thoughts you have going through your head.

Experience Dependent Neuroplasticity (EDN) is the ability to wire new habits into your brain through two main factors:

1) neurons that fire together, wire together
2) consistent passing mental states create lasting neural traits

Translation: you can correct your mental errors/decisions/processes which are affecting your trading mindset and performance by firing new neurons in your brain (e.g. changing the thoughts/emotions/mindset you experience day to day). This is a real thing that we’ve taught members of our traders mindset course to do.

Imagine getting over the mental mistakes/hurdles you experience day in-day out of your trading?

Imagine not being afraid to pull the trigger, or fearing a loss, or worrying about a winning trade that’s starting to pullback against you.

You can learn to change these experiences which are holding you back from making money trading.

Regardless, neuroplasticity is one example of how your biology + psychophysiology can make trading easier. You have another tool in your biological belt which can make trading easier. You’re already familiar with it – it’s called your ‘gut feel‘.

While this term ‘gut feel‘ may seem wishy-washy, it actually has its roots in science.

You Have A Second Brain?

Did you know you that your gut actually sends more signals to your brain than your brain does to your gut?

Did you know you have an entire nervous system which has 5x more neurons than in your own spinal cord?

Welcome to your enteric nervous system which is embedded in the lining of your gut, starting at the esophagus and going down to your ‘dairy-aire‘ 🙂

It’s often called your ‘second brain‘ because it a) can operate independently of your brain, and b) uses the same neurotransmitters as your brain, such as dopamine (i.e. reward experiences) and serotonin. In fact, more than 90% of your bodies seratonin is found in your gut. Seratonin is an essential neurotransmitter because it’s critical for feeling happy, affecting memory, learning, mood and sleep. Can you start to see how your ‘gut‘ can affect your trading performance?

And this is where the vagus nerve comes into play.

The Vagus Nerve

You have many cranial nerves in your brain (12 total), but the 10th one is of great importance to you. It’s called the Vagus Nerve and it’s connected from your brain (medulla oblongata) down to your stomach, innervating itself to most of your major organs along the way.

It is the longest nerve of the ANS (autonomic nervous system) in your entire body and can affect heart rate, lungs, sweating, muscle movements, digestion, etc. The vagus nerve conveys sensory information about the state of the body’s organs to your CNS (central nervous system).

Now the vagus nerve can become heavily agitated due to stress or emotional responses to trading. These can either be good signals, or bad ones. But our experiences of the vagus nerve + enteric nervous system comprise what is often referred to as ‘gut feel‘.

This is because your gut might actually be getting signals from your brain or body that something is really right, or something is really wrong with your current trades. Often times these signals go unnoticed on an unconscious level, but can also manifest because you’ve treated your gut poorly (bad diet/food intake/etc).

When tuned right, your ‘gut feel‘ can be a warning signal something is about to go awry, or a spotlight that you need to jump into this trade before it takes off.

Have you ever had any of the above experiences? If so, then you’re seeing how your biology + psychophysiology can really affect your trading performance.

In Closing

There are many ways your biology + psychophysiology can make trading hard (and easy). It is critical for you as a trader to learn how to spot these reactions/responses, and learn to change them, or use them to make better trading decisions and thus more profitable trades.

I feel the trading education industry + trading mentors are just waking up to this and how powerful your body + brain can/will affect your trading performance (for the good, or bad).

I also feel the trading education industry can/should make a concerted push to use these things to our advantage so you can become a better trader and make less trading mistakes.

We’ve covered this extensively in our traders mindset course, along with practices and methods to help you use these biological and neurological reactions/responses to your advantage.

Now Your Turn

Did you learn anything about how your body and brain can affect your trading mindset and decisions? Have you ever had these ‘gut feel’ experiences? What about a fear of a loss even though you’re in a winning trade?

Make sure to leave a comment about this important trading subject as I really want to hear your feedback on this.

This year will mark my 18th year of trading the forex and financial markets. I’ve learned some incredibly valuable trading lessons I wish I had been taught when I first started out. These are lessons which have cost me probably north of $2-3 million dollars in losses, missed opportunities, and making mistakes which took years to figure out (and unwind).

If you’re a struggling trader who’s making the same mistakes over and over again, take heed of these lessons as they’ll save you years in your trading process, and likely well over 6 figures in unnecessary losses.

Hence if you want the fast track to becoming a successful forex trader, learn everything there is to know about these 18 trading lessons. Do this and you’ll find yourself making more money and having greater trading success than before.

Let’s jump in.

1) Invert the Equations Of What Most Are Doing

I have a general formula which I apply to trading and life. That formula is to invert the equation (or process) of what most people are doing.

The bottom line is most people are not successful at trading. In fact, with almost all things in life, most are not in the top 10% of anything they do (job, profession, sports, martial arts, etc).

If that is true (it is btw :-), then most of them are likely following similar patterns and equations for their job, profession, sport, etc, and its NOT WORKING!

trader formula for success 2ndskiesforex

What’s the most common pattern you see with struggling traders? Most are not following their trading plan. Most don’t have a proper risk management profile. Most are spending their time on the charts and strategy, not their skills.

Hence, whatever the majority of people are doing – you’ll have to invert that process & equation. Follow this formula and my guess is you’ll find out how well it works in trading, and life as well.

2) Good Trading Requires Good Trading Skills

Trading is a skill based endeavor. There is no way around it. If you want to make money trading, you’ll have to build the skills necessary to do that month in, month out.

Most traders spend between 75-90% of their time looking for ‘the’ strategy, focusing on the charts, focusing on the next trade and how their going to make money. And most are losing money!

 

Look, it’s quite simple. If you want to play like Mozart, do you start off with the focus of playing like Mozart, or do you focus first on learning the keys, building coordination your fingers, learn to read sheet music, learn how to play chords?

The answer is obvious. You focus on the latter. Those are the core skills of playing piano. Do that, and in no time, you’ll be playing Mozart. Trading is no different.

3) Sim, Then Demo, Then Live

I have a framework for how you should build your trading skills to make money trading. The process is simple.

First, you practice on a trading simulator, focusing on the core skills of price action context. Second, you practice synthesizing those skills on sim, and then start practicing on a free demo account, first finding potential trading opportunities, then trading them on demo. Third, after you’ve built some consistency there, it’s time to go live (starting with a small amount first, then building your acct as you progress).

The formula is simple: Sim, then Demo, then Live.

Do that and you’ll shorten your learning process.

4) Treat Demo Trading Just Like Live Trading

Ever thought to yourself “I can’t get excited about trading demo as there’s no money on the line“? Anytime a struggling trader tells me that, I know that they (right now) don’t have the mindset to make money trading.

Think demo trading is something not to be treated seriously? Think practice is over-rated?

Watch the following video of Michael Jordan on practice and how he related to it. See how intense he is about practice. See how seriously he’s taking it, then compare that to how you’re relating to practice.

As Michael said, “Every day in practice was like a competition to me. So when the game comes, there’s nothing I haven’t practiced before. It’s like a routine. I never feared about my skills because I put in the work. Work ethic eliminates fear.

After watching this video, tell me if you can still justify treating demo as ‘not-important‘. My guess is after watching this video, you can’t.

5) In The Beginning, Use Bigger Stop Losses, Then Decrease Them Over Time

75% of my students who do a ‘Trading Analytics‘ session with me (where I use 20+ metrics to analyze their performance and help them reduce their leaks while increasing profits), have one thing in common. Their stops are too tight.

In the beginning, your goal should be accuracy and consistency. Tight stops in the beginning requires precision. Do you really think you have precision in your trading skills right now? If the answer is no, try widening your stops a bit and see if your accuracy increases. If it does, you’re on the right track, like my student below.

trading analytics 2ndskiesforex

However you cannot always have bigger stops as it will decrease your profitability over time. You’ll be leaving money on the table. So focus on consistency first, then precision later.

6) Preparation is Highly Underrated By Most Struggling Traders

How much do you prepare (mentally) for your trading day? 10 mins? 15 mins? I’m willing to bet 75% of the traders struggling out there spend 15 mins or less preparing for their trading day. Are you one of them?

What’s the most important tools for a Football player? His body and his mind. What’s the most important tool for you as a trader? Your mind (for the most part).

Hence you need that tool (your mind) to be sharp and prepared for your trading day. Treat preparing for your trading day like a professional athlete, then see if your performance (and mindset) increases.

trading preparation 2ndskiesforex

7) Whatever You Don’t Measure, You Won’t Improve On

How many metrics of your trading performance are you measuring right now consistently? My guess is 90+% of you struggling traders out there measure 3 things at most:

#1 – % accuracy for your trading
#2 – account balance at the end of the week/month/year
#3 – how much your account is negative from your original starting balance (or how much you need to get back to break even)

Does this sound accurate?

How many metrics do I measure about my trading performance? About 20, and I can measure them so quickly, it takes me < 15 mins to measure.

Bottom line is, whatever metrics regarding your trading performance you are not aware of, you cannot fix. You have to be aware of your trading mistakes before you can fix them.
But even then, if you don’t take the next step (measuring them), you won’t know what your baseline is, and how you can improve.

And if you don’t know what your baseline is, and what you need to improve on, how do you plan on getting better?

8) Consistency Comes From The Mind

I’m close, but can’t seem to break through. All I’m really needing is a consistent trading strategy and trading plan.” Ever thought that to yourself?

Where do all your trading decisions come from? They come from your mind.

How many times have you written out a trading plan, and not followed it? How many times have you not followed your trading strategy? How many times have you not pulled the trigger when your trading setup comes?

Consistency in trading doesn’t come from the strategy or your trading plan. You won’t experience consistency in your trading till you have consistency in your mind.

Hence if you want to experience more ‘consistency‘ in your trading, you’ll have to wire consistency in your mind.

9) Information Does Not = A Good Trader

How many trading books have you read? How many trading videos have you watched? Probably a lot, yes? Yet you’re still struggling to make money trading. Why is that?

If watching videos, reading books (i.e. taking in information) made good traders, you’d likely be there by now. But you’re not. And that reason is simple.

Information does not = successful habits.

Trading is a skill based endeavor. I’ll take the trader who’s read only one trading book, and watched one trading video, but has practiced the core skills of price action context vs. the trader who’s read 100’s of books, watched 100’s of videos, but doesn’t practice their trading skills.

 

10) Successful Trading Requires A Successful Mindset

To make money trading, you’re going to have to build a successful mindset. This is a mindset which focuses on getting better every single day, regardless if they made money that day or not. This is a mindset which embraces the challenges trading provides.

There is a mindset you’ll need to make money trading. While that mindset is not fixed, there are certain habits and patterns of thinking you’ll need to make money trading. You’ll see these patterns in the best traders of our time.

Hence if you want to make money trading, you’ll need to build the mindset to get you there, and keep you there.

growth mindset vs fixed mindset 2ndskiesforex

11) Trading Can Be A Lonely Venture. Join A Trading Community!

Ever feel lonely in your trading quest? NEWS FLASH: You’re not the only one who feels this. Most traders do.

Anytime I visit traders and students in other cities, they all tell me how relieved they are to realize they’re not the only one having these experiences. There is no university degree in trading. Very few people will ever work at institutions with other traders. Plan on not being that person.

Once you realize this, and that you’re not alone, you also realize how beneficial it is to join a trading community.

I feel really proud on the trading community we have at 2ndSkiesForex as they’re all open, friendly, and really helpful towards others, especially the senior students. We’re all here for the same goal, and we realize how important it is to communicate and interact with others on this journey.

trading community 2ndskiesforex

Why should you try to tackle such a challenging profession as trading alone? Why not join an active trading community that supports your growth as a trader, where you can see others succeeding?

12) Focus on the How vs Focusing on the When

One of the most important mindset shifts you can make in trading is spending more time focusing on the ‘How‘ vs. the ‘When‘. I can always tell where a traders mindset is when they ask the question “how long will it take for me to make money trading?

Would you ever walk into a martial arts studio and ask “how long before I can beat up a black belt?” Would you ever walk into a piano school and ask “how long before I can play Mozart really well?” No, of course not. Not only is there no fixed answer for this, you’re focused on the wrong variable.

The reason why this is such an important mindset shift, is it gets you actively focusing on and directing your energy to the ‘how‘ and ‘what‘ that will get you from point A to B.

The ‘when‘ won’t get you from point A to B. But the ‘how‘ will.

13) Risk Management is the Most Underestimated Skill in Trading

90% of all struggling students who start my trading course have one variable in common. They don’t take risk management seriously and have inconsistent risk on each trade.

Now ask yourself, “How good are you at predicting whether your next trade will win or not?

Most likely, you’re not that good. If you were, you wouldn’t be taking so many losing trades that you ‘knew’ were going to lose now, would you?

There are 2 key points here:

1) you’re likely not that good at predicting your winners and losers (less winners)
2) trading is a game of probabilities and your trading distribution will be mostly random

Hence risk a fixed % per trade so each loss is always the same % of your account.

fixed-percent-equity-risk-model-superior-than-fixed-dollar-amount-graph-1-2ndskiesforex

14) There Is A Difference Between Planting Seeds & Watering Seeds

In April this year, my father passed away. I left within a day of hearing upon the news to spend time with my family and say my goodbyes to my dad.

The day I got back home, I realized how much we all were in the same vision, or spirit regarding our family. I realized this was a ‘window’ for us to make real changes, just like all big moments in one’s life are.

I talked with my family about how this moment was a window, and a great opportunity for us to plant new seeds for our family. But planting seeds is not enough if you want them to fully grow. You have to water them, provide sunlight, and give them proper soil. Do that, and the seeds (which are pure potential) will grow and manifest that potential.

So ask yourself, are you just planting seeds (watching videos, reading books, but not making any real changes)? Or are you actually watering those seeds, taking real actions, working hard every day to get better?

Which trader do you want to be?

15) If You’re Continually Making the Same Mistakes, Seek Training From A Forex Mentor

I could not imagine trying to learn more about becoming a Buddhist and do the meditation practices without a mentor or teacher. I actually did try (back in college) and for the most part, failed.

The same went for my trading. I knew at some point I needed training. I needed someone to provide feedback to me and help me see what I wasn’t seeing. This is something every professional athlete has (a coach or mentor). Why do you think trading would be any different?

If you’re continually making the same mistakes over and over again, you’ll need a mindset and path outside your current one. If your current path, skills and mindset was working, you wouldn’t be repeating the same mistakes over and over again now, would you?

Hence, if the above description sounds like you, get training from a forex mentor (or trading mentor), one that is a verified profitable trader.

chris capre forex mentor 2ndskiesforex

If they cannot (at a minimum) provide one year of verified profitable trading results, then most likely they aren’t a good trader, and most likely aren’t a good trading mentor.

16) To Make Money Long Term, You’ll Have to Get Comfortable With Uncertainty

How do most people make their money? Via a job, yes? A job which pays you a fixed salary on fixed dates. A job which requires you to work fixed hours, wear fixed clothes, and has a lot of fixed rules.

What’s the common denominator there? Everything (by and large) is ‘fixed’ or ‘solid’. You can rely upon that, which has its benefits.

Trading by default completely up-ends that process. The markets aren’t fixed, but ‘fluid‘, constantly changing. Bull trends one day become ranges, pullbacks, or bear trends the next day. You can make $25,000 one month, and lose $2K the next.

What’s the common denominator here? Most things are notsolid‘ or fixed in the markets. And that will totally mess with your brain, and sense of security.

Bottom line is, you’re going to have to get comfortable with ‘uncertainty’ when it comes to trading.

However by becoming a successful profitable trader, you can put the ball back in your court. And that + financial freedom will most likely eliminate about 75% of the every day stresses you experience in your life.

17) Always Wait For Your Price…95% of the time 🙂

If there is a trading lesson I’ve had to learn 100’s of times over, it’s this one. I cannot tell you how many times I got to the charts, noticed a trade setup just happened, and now its moving away from my entry, exactly as I had planned.

Of all the times I chased the trade and price, about 95% of the time, it came back to my price.

This is such an important lesson for 2 main reasons:

1) if the trade does come back to your price, and wins, won’t you be making more money that way? won’t you be losing money if you get in for a worse entry, and it goes against you?
2) what do you think being disciplined, and waiting for your price does to your self-image and trading mindset?

Which one of the above scenarios do you think wins? And more importantly, which one do you want to win with?

18) Your Brain Has The Tools To Make Money Trading, But You’ll Need to Re-wire It

I’m very serious about learning how the brain and mind works. Of the 50+ books I read every year, about 45+ are on the brain, mindset and meditation.

I’ve been studying neuroscience for over 20 yrs since my university days. I’ve spent the last 18 yrs meditating every day, completing a 1 yr meditation retreat and various practice progressions along the way.

There is one thing I’ve learned through all those years. That the brain, and how its wired, has the tools to help you make money trading. It also has the biases to cause you to lose a lot of money trading. Most likely you’ve already experienced this.

Now I’m guessing you’ve heard about cognitive biases? These are mental and neurological structures in your brain + mindset which cause you to make really bad decisions. A few examples:

1) The negativity bias
2) Confirmation bias
3) Fear of Missing Out
etc…

There are dozens of biases you have which will make it really difficult (if not impossible) to make money trading. Luckily, your brain also has a key feature (like hardware in your computer), that allows you to re-wire your brain to make money trading.

This feature is called Neuroplasticity. It’s how your brain can actually change its cellular and neurological structures to form new habits (i.e. habits that will help you make money trading).

What this means is, you have the ability to re-wire your brain to think and take actions like a successful trader.

The key is, you’ll have to re-wire your brain to do this, and that takes methods, applications and work.

You’ll need real practices, methods and training based upon neuroscience, cognitive psychology and a deep understanding of your brain + mind to make these changes.

Luckily this is a real thing, and my profitable students have proven this.

Hence if you want to start making money trading, you’ll have to re-wire your brain to do this consistently. And that only comes with training, practice and hard work.

Now Your Turn

What did you think of my 18 trading lessons? Did you find something valuable here and learn something new? I take my trading, and my mentoring very seriously, so please make sure to share and comment as I want to hear your feedback on this.