Tag Archive for: price action setups

Chris Capre’s current live open price action & ichimoku trades: AUDNZD, CORN

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AUDNZD – Breaks MT Resistance, Bullish ST (4hr chart)

Price Action Context

Continually gaining ground since the RBNZ rate cut, the AUDNZD has broken above a key MT resistance levels around 1.0710. Notice the breakout pattern which we recently did a video on, and how well that played out for a profitable trade setup?

audnzd breakout pattern 2ndskiesforex

Trending Analysis

ST I’m bullish while above 1.0710 on a daily closing basis. The line of least resistance seems up and am expecting a push towards 1.0948.

Key Support & Resistance Levels

R: 1.0948, 1.1121

S: 1.0710, 1.0510

Stay tuned to the members market commentary for updates.

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USDCHF – Large Corrective Structure In Play, Looking to Sell (daily chart)

Price Action Context

For pretty much the entire summer, the USDCHF has been stuck in a large corrective structure between 1.0010 and 9700 with a few touches on each side. Traders should be looking to trade both sides of the market till it breaks.

usdchf large corrective structure

Trending Analysis

MT the corrective structure dominates while ST I’m looking to sell as we press close up to the key resistance zone.

Key Support & Resistance Levels

R: 9960, 1.0010

S:9700, 9650

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Corn – Just Above Major Support Zone, Expecting A Bounce (daily chart)

Price Action Context

Corn has been selling off for most of the summer, but it just bounced off a major support zone between 345 and 360. I’m currently long corn and am expecting a bounce. 

corn major support zone 2ndskiesforex

Trending Analysis

ST bullish while above the major support zone but MT bearish so will need to shake off the selling pressure from the summer and clear 387 to relieve some of the downside technical pressure.

Key Support & Resistance Zones

R: 387, 414

S: 362, 343

Chris Capre’s current live open price action and ichimoku trades: USDMXN, VIX, CAMP, EA

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EURGBP – Running Into Major Resistance (Weekly chart)

Price Action Context

After a failed bearish continuation + false break back above LT support in May, the strong MT bull run that followed has taken the pair all the way back up to a major LT resistance that has held since Q3 2017.

EURGBP_-_Running_Into_Major_Resistance

Trending Analysis

Overall neutral bias with the LT resistance offering potential bearish plays with 0.8710 being the closest LT support to look out for. A break above 0.9100 would technically open up for a continuation towards 0.9300.

Key Support & Resistance Zones

R: 0.9000 – 0.9100

S: 0.8620 – 0.8710

Stay tuned to our members market commentary for updates.

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GBPUSD – Attempting To Break Key Support (Daily chart)

Price Action Context

After being rejected twice from 1.3300 in Feb/Mar, price sold off towards the lows created in 2016/2017. Bulls seem to be absent and unless they step in soon, it’s like this key support zone will fail to hold IMO as price action is looking very weak atm.

GBPUSD_Attempting_To_Break_Key_Support

Trending Analysis

LT bias is bearish and a strong break and close below this key support level opens up for a likely bearish continuation towards the 2016/2017 lows and can offer potential short plays for bears.

Key Support & Resistance Zones

R: 1.3300 – 1.3385

S: 1.2400 – 1.2485

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XPTUSD – Back @ LT Key Resistance (Weekly chart)

Price Action Context

After reversing a bit shy of the LT support zone, Platinum is now back at the LT resistance which has rejected price multiple times since mid-2018.

XPTUSD_Back__LT_Key_Resistance

Trending Analysis

LT bias is bearish and if bears successfully can defend this zone a move back down towards the LT support is likely. A strong break and close above this zone on the other hand would put 1 010 back into focus.

Key Support & Resistance Zones

R: 870 – 915 S: 754 – 777

Have you ever failed to the pull the trigger, even though your ideal setup was right in front of you? What about feeling paralyzed to hit the buy/sell button after a big loss? Have you noticed how your mind tends to race right before you fire off a trade as you think about your last loss?

All of these debilitating experiences tend to follow our fears, particularly being afraid to lose. Ironically, our ‘being afraid to lose’ often times goes beyond the potential loss of money. In most cases it has to do with something beyond the pure dollars at risk. In many cases, it becomes one of the primary hurdles a trader faces and never overcomes.

fear of trading and transforming fear 2ndskiesforex

This article will first go into the underlying reasons why we are afraid to lose. Then I will share a method how to transform this fear to enhance your trading performance.

Behind The Curtain
In reality, there are several ‘reasons’ why we experience being afraid to lose when we are trading. A few examples are;

a) Perhaps we have an unconscious fear of making a mistake and what that might bring (i.e. a parental punishment)
b) We fear the potential loss in money and our ability to make it back
c) Making another mistake will only confirm our suspicion that we cannot trade

I could probably spend an entire day listing dozens of reasons why we experience this fear. But behind the curtain of it all I find are two variables which remain constant;

1) The anticipation of what has yet to come
&
2) An unconscious or limiting belief that perceives the potential outcome as a threat, dangerous or painful

The first one is something the Buddha once said, that ‘Fear is the anticipation of what has yet to come‘. Imagine if we approached our next trade and had no anticipation of what was to come next. We just trusted our system and pulled the trigger, then let the system play itself out.

More than likely you’d experience a lot less emotions and the debilitating physical responses that tend to affect our thinking. Although many people get this idea ‘intellectually’, it is easier said than done. Often it takes years of practice, training and experience to have happen moreso than not.

fears are the stories we tell ourselves 2ndskiesforex

As to the second one regarding ‘unconscious or limiting beliefs’, most of the time, we are not just trading the price action setups in front of us – we are also trading our thoughts and beliefs about money, our ability to make money, what our perception is of our P&L, our current trading skill, and more. In most trading situations, we are not just trading setups at key levels – we are trading our unconscious limiting beliefs + our motivations for why we are trading.

How To Transform These Fears
There are three things you can do help reduce and transform these fears. They are;

1) Expand Self-Awareness

2) Awareness Practices In The Moment

3) ERT to Remove Unconscious or Limiting Beliefs

Expanding Self-Awareness
The first step to expanding your self-awareness is to recognize how our thinking, emotions and perceptions in the moment affect our interpretations of things, particularly related to trading. When you do this, you begin to realize how these ‘perceptions’ of your trading will color your experiences and memories around trading. This can have an empowering or debilitating effect on your trading performance.

A trading journal also helps us to see how our trading behaviors often repeat, and thus help us to become aware of the mistakes we make frequently. This is to help keep us honest and in check about how we are really doing from day to day.

Awareness Practices in the Moment
One awareness practice that helps us in the moment is a silent meditation practice. I am not talking about a guided visualization, but a mindfulness practice designed to help us become aware of our mind, thoughts and mental activity in the moment. By sitting every day before you start trading, you can calm your mind and see how the traffic of thoughts can affect your trading.

If you think your mind is busy while you are just sitting trying to focus on your breath while little to nothing is going on – imagine what its like during trading?

Meditation and mindfulness practices shed a light on how our mind works and is working in the moment. By having a contextual experience of calm, clarity and focus, you can recognize when you are not calm, clear and focused.

meditation mindfulness practice and awareness in trading 2ndskiesforex

Also, meditation and mindfulness practices help tremendously in expanding your self-awareness, so taking out two stones with one.

ERT to Remove Unconscious / Limiting Beliefs
Sometimes we have unconscious or limiting beliefs which interfere tremendously with our trading. If you find yourself repeating the same mistake without knowing why, in 99% of the cases, it has to do with an unconscious or limiting belief.

Our mind stores memories like a bunch of pictures stuffed in a shoebox, so your memories around money when you were a kid could be right next to your memories around trading. Activating memories of one can excite the other, and thus affect your trading performance in real time.

These often take the longest to uncover, transform and remove, and could take years of both meditation and awareness practices. One short cut to this process is ERT Training which helps you to discover and transform them quickly. We actually have an ERT Training program specifically built for trading. Many traders have already gone through the program and noticed tremendous changes in their trading.

fearless of risk jumping into ocean 2ndskiesforex

One final note about doing the three above is they inevitably lead to greater market awareness and more profitable trading. This comes from seeing more of what’s going on in the markets finding clues others would not since you are less inhibited by your fears. Intuition, confidence and your learning curve all tend to increase heavily when you build self-awareness, expand your awareness in the moment and remove your limiting beliefs.

Hello Traders,

Often times I share my own personal trades that I use from my price action course strategies, but today I wanted to share some  from a student who has banked over 1640+ pips in just the last two days, using our strategies. This student (we’ll call him Stan) had joined our course only a few weeks ago, and has already paid for it several times over.  How Stan came to me is quite interesting and worth noting.
wasting time on another course
He took another course from someone else on price action just this last January and had the following to say;
“I started a course from him in January, and I do not want to waste any more time on his course. I like your forex videos, but moreso wanted to learn from your unique perspective on trading and life, so I’m going to join your course.”
He joined on March 10th of this year.
For the next two weeks, he did nothing but study and ask questions, really digging himself into the material and constantly getting feedback. He without a doubt has the passion and drive, and is using these to fuel his growth without a doubt.
After a few weeks of study, questions, practice and feedback, he emailed me on April 4th with the following;
“I have been watching the videos on the price action course, and today I nailed 3/3 trades which I’m still in at the moment. I just want to thank you for being such a good teacher and gifted instructor. Thank you for passing on the knowledge.”
Making a good chunk of money to have the time and freedom to do what you want is one thing – but having an impact on another person’s life is a completely different thing. This is what I strive for, as making money is not difficult, but being able to impact a person’s life like this student – is as rewarding as it gets.
Stan made these trades the day before NFP, and was up over +1060 pips heading into the big announcement.
After a few back and forth discussions on how he should handle the positions, Stan stayed in them through NFP, and has profited even more – currently up +1640 pips on just those three positions.
Here are the trades below from the screenshots he sent me on Thursday:
CHFJPY 1hr Chart
price action trading course live trade 2ndskiestrading.com chfjpy chris capre students profiting
USDJPY 1hr Chart
forex price action course live trade 2ndskiestrading.com usdjpy chris capre students profiting
GBPJPY 1hr Chart
price action course live trades gbpjpy 2ndskiestrading.com chris capre students profiting
As you can see, Stan got pretty darn good entries on the positions considering the JPY volatility – but has also held his nerve as they developed, which has allowed him to make several multiples of R (reward) per trade, with some over 10:1 reward to risk plays.
As of Friday just after the NFP report came out, Stan sent me another screenshot of him holding the positions, and even adding onto it using one of our price action setups.
+1640 pips live price action trading chris capre student 2ndskiestrading.com
As you can see buy the date and time on his broker platform, Stan was still in the position heading into NFP and added more. If you include the new position he added, he’s up another 221 pips, so a total of +1861 pips in the last two days, and each trade is no less than a 7:1 reward to risk play, with one being over 10:1.
Keep in mind, Stan only joined the course a few weeks ago, and has learned tools and methods to take advantage of these huge moves in the market. The irony of it is, he was not the top performing trader in the course this week, who banked over +6300 pips this week from trading Gold and Silver!
Perhaps you have not been profiting lately in the markets, and having trouble catching these great price action setups and large moves. But seeing the above, I hope you realize how you can profit from trading the market, with the right education, study and practice.
Making money in the markets is a real thing, and its not just something that I do, but my students do as well, and continue to do. My belief has always been – if they can do it, then there is no reason why you cannot as well.
My job is to give you the strategies, training and mindset to be successful, but you must meet me on the path. I can only do so much, and my job is really to do 50% of the work for you (although it ends up being like 75%). But for those that meet me along the way, and do their part, the rewards are there, just like they were for Stan in his excellent trading above.
Hopefully, you will be next.
Kind Regards,
Chris Capre

In my previous article Developing A Successful Forex Mindset Pt. 1, I discussed how your trading mindset is essentially a product of three things;

1) Your Neuro-Physiological Wiring

2) Your Mindset of Level of Mindfulness

3) Your Psychological Conditioning

I focused specifically on how your Neuro-Physiological Wiring, specifically how your mind and brain are integrated and help in your development as a forex trader.

developing a successful trading mindset pt 2 2ndskiestrading.com

I also talked about the three main fundamental functions of your brain (regulation, learning, selection) and how these mental functions are critical for building a successful forex trader mindset.

Today I’ll focus on number two from above – how your level of mindfulness helps to build your trading mindset – gearing it towards success or failure.

 

Your Level Of Mindfulness
As a general definition of mindfulness in trading, your mindfulness equates to the degree of awareness and attention to both your inner and outer worlds.  Although this is particularly critical during the trading process (including just before and after), it is also connected to your mental activity and thoughts separate from trading.

Why?

This is because there is no compartmentalized section of your brain just for forex trading.  We didn’t evolve to be forex traders sitting in front of a computer for our survival, so we are using skills and neurons from all portions of your brain.  Because the brain is an interconnected whole, our experiences in life around wealth, mindset of abundance, family, memory, fear, greed, confidence, and more, all effect our trading mindset, and thus – how we make trading decisions in the moment.

mindfulness in trading 2ndskiestrading.com

Particularly true for trading (but also in life), your brain learns primarily from what you attend to in the moment.  In an ode to Star Wars fans, Qui-Gon Jinn once stated, ‘your focus determines your reality‘. Thus, since your mind essentially learns from what you focus on in the moment, your level of mindfulness is the gateway to taking in helpful information (and avoiding non-useful info).  How you perceive information (internally and externally) via your level of mindfulness, is what facilitates your learning process and thus trading mindset.

 

30-80x a Second
I’m going to be sharing a few ways you can build your level of mindfulness to sharpen your mental faculties, but wanted to briefly mention the potency of mindfulness practice.

In a study in 2004 by Lutz et al., he examined various Tibetan meditators as they went deep into their meditation and he found something highly impressive.  Lutz noticed these meditators produced an uncommonly level of powerful and pervasive brainwaves, whereby unusually large regions of neural connections were pulsing in a ballet like synchrony.  These large regions of neural connections pulsed at 30-80x a second allowing them to unify large territories of the mind.

brain neural mindfulness techniques 2ndskiestrading.com

Part of Einstein’s incredible mental faculties were his ability to involve large regions of his brains to work together via the cerebral cortex.  His level of activity and connection (or higher) has also been found in those meditators who have build up their level of mindfulness via a sitting meditation practice.  So a genius level IQ or mental abilities, along with highly perceptive qualities are not reserved for people born with these gifts.

Like all things in the mind, they can be learned and developed, particularly through mindfulness practices.

 

Mindfulness & Wisdom in Trading
As a whole, trading wisdom and mindfulness is not your ability to spot price action patterns in the charts, or understand proper risk management.  Trading wisdom and mindfulness comes from a few steps;

1) Understanding what hurts and helps your trading process

2) Based on this understanding and experience, letting go of those habits which hurt your trading process

3) And strengthening those that help move your trading forward

As a whole, mindfulness and wisdom in trading are supported by the three basic functions I mentioned in the last article (regulation, learning and selection).  Your brain learns through forming new circuits, strengthening new ones and weakening others.  It selects through experience what is valuable and what is not.

Mindfulness in turn leads to new (and accelerated) learning, since your attention shapes what neural circuits are built.  Regulation is done through a combination of excitatory and inhibitory activity.  Thus, by learning to improve these three processes, you will improve your neural functions, and thus improve your trading mindset.

 

Two Methods For Building Mindfulness
Although there are dozens of methods to help you build mindfulness which will flood into your trading, I will talk about the two that I have practiced for over 12 years now; Yoga & Meditation

yoga and meditation chris capre 2ndskiestrading.com

Over a few thousand years old, Yoga has hundreds and hundreds of scientifically proven benefits, such as reducing fat, increasing muscle tone, improving digestion, enhancing your sex life, glandular function, and relaxing your central nervous system (or CNS).

Your CNS regulates an enormous amount of activity from motor to mental activity to breathing.  Are you mouth breathing rapidly?  If so, you are likely to be more excited, emotional and less relaxed/focused during trading.  Yoga is a great practice to help build both a relaxed CNS, but also to build awareness, both physical and mental.

To really do yoga well, you have to maintain awareness of your entire body, and control your internal energy.  Any inability to do this will manifest in your yoga practice.  Don’t believe me, try and do a balancing pose (like tree pose) and see how long you can hold it?  I’m willing to bet almost any experienced yoga instructor can hold it for much longer than you.  How so?  Through a greater ability to relax their body, mind while maintaining awareness.

Thus, Yoga is a fantastic option for building mindfulness as that is the root of all yoga practice.

Meditation is another alternative, particularly silent sitting, sometimes known as vipassana, shi-ne, zazen or many other names.  More than likely there is a center around you that offers a silent sitting practice, but those who engage this practice fully not only notice mindfulness benefits, but greater clarity, happiness and without a doubt – better neural functioning.

The general goal of any silent sitting practice is to build your mindfulness and awareness in the moment.

Many people wonder how I became a successful trader being self-taught. I am unlikely smarter than many of those I teach.  Nor did I take a single economics or business class in college.  But one edge I had for sure, was my yoga and meditation practice over the last 12 years.

successful trader chris capre 2ndskiestrading.com

This helped accelerate my learning curve as I figured out much quicker what to focus on, what price action setups were high probability, how to build my trading skills and trading mindset to be successful.  If there was one key edge between me and others, it would be this, and the benefits continue ad infinitum – probably the best investment and ROI I could have ever come across in my life.

Regardless, these are a few options for building a successful trading mindset and your mindfulness in trading.

 

In Closing
Your mindset, brain and mental activity is what forms your trading mindset, and thus – determines your level of success.  Mindfulness in trading equates to the degree of awareness and attention to both your inner and outer worlds.  This would mean your emotions, your level of relaxation or excitation, your ability to focus in the moment and detect the order flow in the market, along with how your mental activity is helping or hurting your trading decisions.

Mindfulness increases your learning process by focusing on what is beneficial and profitable for your trading process, while avoiding what sets you backward.

Two practices you can engage in to build your mindfulness are yoga and meditation, which will sharpen your focus and mental activity so you get more out of your brain and mind when trading.

This is part two of the three part series on Developing A Successful Trading Mindset, so stay tuned for the last edition soon.  But I hope this gives you some ideas of looking beyond the strategy to what may be keeping profits and success in trading just out of reach.

Kind Regards,
Chris Capre

We have gone over one method to use the 20ema for getting into trends after they have materialized and gotten underway. In this article, we will talk about another common setup trends often form giving us as traders another method to get into trends.

The EMA Failure – With Trend Setup
As mentioned before, trends will often oscillate and provide minor pullbacks before resuming another leg of the trend. These moves can pullback to the 20ema, touch it and then continue trending. Another method is the EMA failure, where the trend will pullback to the 20ema, break it briefly, and then resume the trend. We will talk about this method and gives some examples.
It stands to reason the institutions are watching how price action responds to these moving average touches because the market so often responds to them in such a clear and undeniable fashion. If a moving average has acted as support (or resistance) during a trend, then when it breaks it, the market should or could reverse. However, more often than not, the institutions will often use this as an opportunity to get back in the trend. It is often the case after breaking counter-trend the 20EMA, it will shortly after slam back above (or below) it to resume the trend. Lets look at a few examples and talk about some common characteristics when this happens.

AUDUSD 4hr Chart

aud_usd1
Moving in a solid consistent downtrend, the pair has had several touches off the 20ema treating it as resistance and a trend continuation signal.However, look at the middle of the chart where it breaks it for 2.5candles.Usually when something is treated as resistance and gets broken, the buyers come in thinking the trend is over or reversing.However, the market never did this as the price action after it barely gained ground only to slam back below the 20EMA and start another run.It did this a total of three times with the behavioural pattern the same each time.

GBPUSD 4hr Chart

Already in a strong downtrend, the pair pong’d off the 20ema once and sold off for another 28hrs straight, dropping 300pips in the process.However, take a look at what happened when it actually broke the 20ema for the first time and closed above it.
gbp_usd

After closing above it, some traders might have gone long and quickly gotten trapped in this move after the pair on the following candle formed an outside reversal candle and then sold off 350pips in the next 48hrs.Not all EMA breaks are created equal and its important to realize when they are the real deal and when they are with-trend setups.

2 Key Points


The market will often exhibit two key characteristics when the 20ema break is a failure or a with-trend setup.

  1. Time – the market spends a short period of time (3-4candles max) above the 20ema on the other side of the trend before breaking back above (or below) it in the direction of the original trend.This is the market showing with time that trend is still alive and about to start another leg
  2. Reversal Slam – after breaking above the 20ema counter-trend, the market comes back with a vigor slamming back below (or above) the 20ema with trend to show their renewed energy to continue the trend.The strong price action move is confirmation with a lot of money from the institutions the trend is going to resume and this move is often highlighted with a reversal pattern of sorts as in the case below (outside bar)gbp_usd4

    When you have the combination of the Time and Reversal Slam together on a counter trend 20ema break, it gives us traders a with-trend setup that is usually low risk and high reward but more importantly, a way to trade trends after missing the initial move.

    To learn more advanced price action setups, check out the Trading Masterclass course.