Last week in our option flow report we predicted SPY would grind higher as long as it holds the key 690 TGS (top gamma strike). This played out as expected with SPY gaining a whopping 1.09% on the week from the cash open to close.

5 min chart $SPY

SPY 2026 01 11 17 01 11

We also mentioned in our 2026 market predictions that we think the Trump admin will move away from a rules based international order (think UN) vs applying executive action/orders in ways that will move supply chains away from the US. This manifested in Trump invading Venezuela and taking Maduro. We think this will lead to a) Latin America trusting us less while looking for supply chains outside the US, b) lead to a weakening of the USD, and c) be good for defense/military contractors.

As you can see via the chart below, defense contractors did quite fine with $LMT (Lockheed Martin) gaining +8.35% on the week.

LMT 2026 01 11 17 06 12

5 min chart $LMT

We think defense contractors will continue to shine in this environment, especially with the Trump admin wanting to increase the military budget by 50%.

Along these lines, we also are watching trade setups in metals and materials, not just for mining, but also rare earths as we think this will continue to see upside pressure in an environment increasing with geopolitical tensions.

Tickers we like watching are $REMX and $XME. We currently have long calls in $XME and are long shares in $REMX, but we’ll be looking to add if they continue to find more upside.

Lastly, circling back to $SPY and the week ahead, we have the Jan op-ex on Friday, earnings starting to heat up and CPI/PPI on the 13th and 14th. With open interest building at 700 for SPY, we can see this being a clear upside target, but we also lean towards this acting as strong resistance that likely won’t be broken without a heavy bullish catalyst. After this op-ex, due to the call heavy positioning, we think the market could be vulnerable to a pullback after the Jan op-ex.

Make sure to check in with our option flow report for TTM members on Monday before the market opens, along with our live trading webinar next week.

By definition, value stocks are those that are believed to be trading below their supposed value. In other words, you believe they’re undervalued. For a while now, Metlife, Inc (NYSE: MET) has been regarded as a strong value stock. But with the stock at its highest price ever, is it still a value stock?

Is Metlife Still A Good Value Stock 01

Source: Andrea Piacquadio

Metlife is a financial service company that provides services, such as insurance, employee benefits, annuities, and more. Although the company has a presence in over 40 markets, most its revenue comes from its insurance market in the U.S.

If you would judge by the technical analysis alone, you could argue that Metlife is not undervalued. It currently trades at $68.37, which is its highest price ever. More on that below.

But if we’re factoring other things, such as price to earnings ratio, into the equation, the story becomes different. Metlife has a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.88, which is below that of its industry (11.4) and that of the general US market (17.4). This is a positive for value investors.

Earnings, though, may drop in FY 2022. The company puts a majority of the blame on the effects of the pandemic.

So, which is it? Value or not?

Irrespective of if Metlife is a good value stock or not, something you might not really be considering is that Metlife may makes a reasonably good dividend stock with a dividend yield of 2.81%, 0.8% above the current market average.

The company has also recorded a consistently above 3% dividend yield for about seven years now. But long term, this value could go back above 3% going forward.

Technical Analysis

While trading at its all-time high, MET is still within the resistance zone of $67 – $69, and what it does from here could help us determine if the stock can be a value stock once again.

Is Metlife Still A Good Value Stock 02

Should the resistance level be strong enough to repel MET, the price could find itself at the next level, which is the $55 – $57 support level. However, the price may well breakout of the resistance level and coast in uncharted territory (as long as it isn’t a false breakout).

While you could argue about the value stock status of Metlife, we believe the dividend status of the stock is surer. And we can’t completely shake off the potential for the future growth of one of the biggest financial services providers in the world, no matter how slow.

In Part 2 of our Options Trading for Beginners video, you’ll learn how and why to buy call and put options, and how they can benefit your trading. Call and put options are the basic building blocks of all option strategies, so getting this down is crucial. This is our in-depth beginner’s guide to options trading.

If you missed Part 1, click here to watch it. We cover how options trading works, the option chain, option profit and loss, why you should trade options and much more.

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