Palantir just hit new all time highs after reaching all time highs on Tuesday this week post earnings, reaching over 108.50 today. Since the earnings (which shot the stock above $100) the ticker has consolidated on Tues/Weds, but today it ripped impulsively printing new all time highs today.

The thoughts on traders minds now are “Does it have more upside”?

We’ll answer this question using our PFP system to see where it can go from here and how you can trade it.

 

Options Positioning in $LLY

Looking at the option positioning, the TCS (top call strike) is at 110, but there is some decent fuel for the Feb/Mar op-ex targeting 120. The bulk of the bullish positioning is between 100-110, but there is a vacuum between 110-115. If we clear above 110, we could get a quick impulsive move to 115, and a close there puts 120 on notice.

We prefer pullbacks to 105/100 zone as the call gamma there is very thick, but in our view, there is ‘scope’ for a move higher, however unless we have new scaffolding built above 105, we like the pullback zone listed above.

 

Option Flows for $LLY

In terms of the options flow today, its been bulls on parade with strong amounts of call buying (positive deltas) and a decent chunk of put selling (also positive deltas). While we’re not at 30 day highs for + notional deltas, we’re almost ½ way there (~300M in +notional deltas).

So, from a flow based perspective, its been all bullish on the options front with a little bit of flat call buying near the ITD (intraday) highs. We’re not sure $PLTR can produce this back to back days, thus we’re leaning for a small pullback towards 105 near term.

 

Price Action in $PLTR

Looking at the price action on the 5 min chart below, we can see the big surge after market on Monday followed by a two session corrective structure since. Today we broke out via an impulsive move, so the ICI structure from our TTM course is playing out as expected.

 

5 minute chart $PLTR

PLTR 2025-02-06

The TGS is around the base of the corrective structure, so corrective pullbacks from here should find support between 100-105. Overall, the price action context favors more upside as long as 100 holds.

 

How We’re Trading $PLTR

We’re looking for corrective pullbacks into the 100-105 zone, and if the PFP (positioning, flows and price action) looks good when we get there, we’ll take a bullish position, likely for the Feb op-ex. We’ll probably split our targets and use either long calls, bull call spreads or call BWB’s to trade Palantir.

We’ll share our live trade ideas in real time with our members of the Benzinga Option School or Trading Waves, so make sure to join and see how I’m trading it. I hope to see you there soon.

With a new year underway, traders, investors and portfolio managers will make some bold new bets on what will happen in the upcoming year. If you get things right (and early), you can make a lot of money.

We feel 2025 will be an incredibly unique year for markets, and when all is said and done, it will seem a lot like 2020. We made a lot of predictions in 2020 early on when COVID was starting, many of which came true (airlines would suffer, sports betting will increase, etc) and we have some bold predictions for this year.

Below are 10 predictions for 2025 and how you can trade them.

NOTE: while the first three are free, the rest will be made available for TTM members only. If just a few of our predictions are right, they can pay for the course itself.

If you’d like to see the remaining 7 predictions (plus our BONUS prediction) for the year, you can become a TTM member here and get 15% OFF the current price (use the coupon code: NEWYOU15).

 

Prediction #1

There will be a change in the world order after this quarter in 2025

10 Predictions for 2025 - Prediction #1

This is more of a geopolitical prediction and thus will be my ‘longest’ prediction (e.g. word count) but all the ingredients for a change in the world order are bubbling to the surface. And such a change could implicate any (*or many) of the following countries (in no particular order):

  • The United States
  • China
  • Russia
  • India

US – We still have the largest military in the world, and the biggest technological innovations are happening here (AI), but the US could slip from its global dominance. If it does, I expect the USD to depreciate, possibly lose its reserve currency status, a reduced demand for US debt (which would increase yields on US treasuries) and create greater fiscal strain on an already debt-heavy US government. Real estate would likely take a downturn, and in the short term, if there was no clear replacement, I think we’d see more ‘regional’ economies emerge, an increase in military conflicts and higher commodity prices (energy and food).

China – facing an aging population, a shrinking workforce, an economic boom fueled by debt, and government interventions, China could face a heavy strain on its social welfare system, a reduction in domestic consumption, and a lowering of productivity.

In such a scenario, we see Vietnam, India and Mexico benefitting the most to take on the factory needs of the world. This would also lead to the Yuan devaluing and any economy which has heavy exports to China (Australia, Brazil, etc).

Russia – Western sanctions, an exhausting military conflict with Ukraine, and a lack of competitive markets outside of energy make Russia vulnerable to a weakening state in the world order. Besides the Ruble falling in value, we think Canada (another major supplier of energy) and a potential increase in demand for oil from the ME (Middle East) and the US could benefit, while agricultural producers (i.e. Brazil) might benefit.

India – We lean towards the influence of India only getting stronger in the world order over time. Half of the worlds population lives in the Asian region (India, China, etc) and India’s population is growing massively while bringing people out of economic poverty into levels 2, 3 and 4 in terms of economic growth and stability. They have a young and growing population, pro-business policies and massive infrastructure development that is just getting into gear.

India could be come the global IT services hub and already has large companies like Infosys, Wipro and TCS leading the way.

Cloud computing, cybersecurity and big data analytics could all flourish there. They are also making heavy investments into alternative energy and EV’s and they stand to benefit the most should China fall from their position in the world order.  For taking advantage of the growth in India, we like INDA (India ETF), and are watching their fintech firms like Zerodha, Paytm and Bajaj Finance and possible pharma exposure via Sun Pharma and Biocon.  Telecom giants are also on our watch like Bharti Airtel and Reliance Jio

We don’t know which country will see its position change in the world order, but we think this will happen after the 1st quarter this year.

 

Prediction #2

The First Half of 2025 Will Be More Volatile than the Second Half

10 Predictions for 2025 - Prediction #2

A Trump presidency, possible ending to the RUS/UKR war, ME conflicts increasing or decreasing, with many more contenders and we see the first half of this year being way more volatile than the second half.

We think vol will remain elevated, along with yields, and when there’s volatility in yields, equities suffer.  We think the first half of the year will be much harder to predict on a long term basis and thus will remain tactically ‘short-term’ focused. This means making bets no more than 6 weeks out and keeping most bets/trades within 0-6 weeks. Only until the clarity comes will we consider making more long term trades for the year. We like being long VIX on dips in the first half and selling rips in the second half. We also think the biggest events with the longest lasting implications will happen in the first half, so once this is laid bare, it will give greater clarity in terms of ‘forward guidance’ for the rest of the year. Thus be patient and tactical in the first half, while thinking longer term in the second half.

 

Prediction #3

One New War Will Begin While a Current Conflict/War Will End

10 Predictions for 2025 - Prediction #3

Whether it’s the RUS/UKR war, the Israel/Palestine conflict, we think one of these wars will end. While this may seem like a reprieve, we also think a new war and conflict will break out this year. This could be China invading Taiwan, China vs India, the US vs some ME country, or some unseen conflict.

Either way, we think the war drums will not go away this year as its setup for more conflicts. When the new conflicts break out, look to see what trading/commodities are impacted the most, what ETF (from said country) is likely to take a hit, and what military stocks will benefit the most.

 

Once again, if you’d like to see the remaining 7 predictions (plus our BONUS prediction) for the year, you can become a TTM member here and get 15% OFF the current price (use the coupon code: NEWYOU15).

What is Stock Trading?

Stock trading refers to the buying and selling of shares in a company. A stock is an ownership interest in a publicly traded company. That means if you wanted to technically own a piece of Apple as a company, you could do so by buying Apple (Nasdaq: APPL) shares.

Hence, when you buy shares in a company, technically you own a small portion of that company.

By buying and selling stock shares, you can profit from the increase or decrease in a stock’s price. The sale and purchase of stocks between individual investors, institutional investors and companies is facilitated via centralized stock exchanges such as the New York Stock Exchange and the London Exchange.

There are many of them, but when you are trading stocks, you are buying and selling the shares through brokers who are linked to the exchanges like the New York Stock Exchange.

You buy and sell the stock shares from your broker which they in turn get them from the exchanges.

Stock Market 101

Stock Market Hours

There are a lot of stock exchanges out there, but we’ll cover a few so you have an idea.

The New York Stock Exchange is the main New York or US stock trading session which opens at 9:30 AM and closes at 4:00 PM EST or New York time.

The London Stock Exchange is open from 8:00 AM local time in the UK until 4:30 PM which is generally considered to be the largest stock market in the UK/EU region with another big one being the German DAX.

In Australia, the stock market is open from 10:00 AM local time Sydney to 4:00 PM.

Generally, stocks can only be traded when the exchanges are open. But some exchanges, like the New York Stock exchange do have pre-market and post-market hours that allow for limited trading in certain stocks.

How Market Cap Affects Stock Behavior

Market Cap stands for “Market Capitalization”. Market cap is basically the total value of a company based upon the total number of shares x the price per share.

For example, if you were to look at Apple, it has approximately 16.7 billion shares available. Assuming the current price of Apple is trading at around $133 per share, if you do the math, 16.7 billion x $133 per share, gives it a market cap around $2.2-$2.3 trillion.

It’s important to understand that there are various types of market caps and stocks you can trade.

There are generally considered to be six ranges of market cap:

  • Nano – Stocks with less than $50 million in market cap
  • Micro – Stocks with between $50 to $300 million in market cap
  • Small caps – Stocks with between $300 million to around $2 billion in market cap
  • Mid caps – Stocks with between $2 billion and $10 billion in market cap
  • Large caps – Stocks with between $10 and $300 billion in market cap
  • Mega cap – Stocks with $300 billion and above in market cap.

It’s not super important that you understand each market cap specifically, but it is important to understand how market cap can and often does affect how the stock trades and how the stock moves.

For example, one general rule you can rely upon regarding market cap is “the greater the market cap generally, the lower the volatility“.

Volatility simply refers to the ability for the price in the stock to change up or down heavily or not, to move rapidly in price or not.

If you think about it, with a large market cap like Apple, the stock needs a lot of capital just to move its market cap significantly. Whereas, a slightly lower priced stock like DraftKings, with less shares and a smaller market cap, doesn’t require as much money and capital to move the price. Hence, the latter can, and likely will be, more volatile.

This is why market cap is important. It’s helpful to understand what kind of stock you’re trading, and if it, based on the share price, market cap and the number of shares available, has a greater propensity for volatility or not.

Hence, it’s important to understand how market cap can and often does affect a stock’s behavior.

Stock Market for Beginners

The Bid/Ask Price

When it comes to looking up a stock’s price on your stockbroker platform, you’ll see two prices, for example $10 and $10.05.

These two prices are called the “Bid” & “Ask”, and the difference between them is called the “Spread”. This spread basically is a fee that your broker charges you for providing a service.

After all, your broker is allowing you to buy and sell shares as you can’t do so directly from the exchanges. Like a business selling any product, they will sell it to you for slightly more than what it costs them, and they do that to help cover their costs for providing this service of allowing you to buy and sell stock shares.

The best way to think about the bid and the ask is that they are the implied costs of doing business.

When you see a price like $10 and $10.05, the bid is the lower price. In this case, $10, and the ask is the higher price at $10.05.

If you want to buy a stock, you’re going to have to buy it from someone who already owns the stock. Hence, in our example, the $10 and $10.05, the lowest price that this person will sell to you for is $10.05.

If you on the other hand are looking to sell the same stock, you will get $10 for it. That spread between $10 and $10.05, is what the broker profits for helping you find a buyer and seller to execute this transaction. Like a real estate broker brings a buyer and a seller and they get a fee for that, this is the same thing.

As a general rule regarding the bid and ask spread, the smaller the spread or the difference between the two prices, the better the liquidity or otherwise known as availability of that particular stock.

Buying & Selling Stocks

There are three ways that you can buy and sell stocks.

The first way that you can buy and sell stocks is what we call a market order. Market order simply means that you want to buy or sell the stock immediately. Once you hit the button and your broker receives it, it will buy or sell that stock at the current price it has.

There are advantages to a market order, and one of those being that you’re going to get filled, i.e. being able to purchase the stock immediately. You hit that market order, if the shares are there, as soon as the broker gets it, they’re going to fill you.

However, there is a disadvantage to the market orders. You may not get filled at the last price you see on your platform, because by the time you send the order and your broker gets it, the price could’ve changed. Stock prices change and can at times move fast. When your broker gets the order, they’re going to fill you at the next price that they have available.

The second type of order is called a limit order. This is where you can buy or sell the stock at a specific price in the future. The way this works is that you place a limit order on XYZ stock above or below the current price, and once price gets there in the future, your broker will execute your order and you receive the number of shares that you wanted to buy (or sell).

The third type of order is called a stop loss. This is simply an order to close your trade if it goes up or down to a specific price. Once you’ve entered your stop loss order, if (or when) in the future the price of the stock reaches the same price as your stop loss order, your shares will be sold and you lock in the profit (or loss) which is the difference in price between where you got in and where you got out of your stock position.

So to summarize, these are the three most important order types you will be utilizing when buying or selling stocks:

  • Market = buy/sell immediately at current bid/ask
  • Limit = buy/sell at specific price in the future
  • Stop loss = order to close a trade at +/- x price

Interested in further reading? We recommend checking out our articles on Stock Market Sectors, Types of Stocks & Dividend Stocks.

In this free stock trading course for beginners, we will cover everything you need to know about how to trade. In this video, you will:

  • Learn how the stock market works
  • Learn how you can make money trading stocks
  • Get an introduction to price action and technical analysis
  • Learn the stock trading indicators you must use (Volume & VWAP)
  • Learn about using stock scanners
  • Get some great stock trading strategies

and much more!

Read more

Want to learn how to day trade stocks? Learn 6 easy steps to day trade stocks only 1-2 hours per day.

By learning how to day trade stocks you give yourself the chance to make money trading only a few hours per day. It takes skill, practice and time, but it is a learnable skill to make money trading from home.

Read more

Check out this stock day trade from course student Byron on $FTNT for $4.19 gain in 2.5hrs. Hence for every 1000 shares traded, he would have made $4,190 profit!

In this trading video I’ll show you his trading strategy, exact entry price, stop loss and take profit levels.

I also talk about how he could have maximized his profit potential and give tips to improve your trading performance.

Read more

If you are going to be day trading stocks (or trading stocks in general), you need to know HOW TO USE the VWAP Indicator (Volume Weighted Average Price) as prop traders, hedge funds and every pro trader is using it.

In today’s stock trading video, I’m going to share with you how use the VWAP indicator to trade stocks, either for day trading or swing trading.

I’m also going to share with you tips and strategies to use it you won’t find on the typical YouTube video.

Read more

Are you new to stock trading and feel overwhelmed by the sheer amount of options available when it comes to brokers and trading platforms?

Got no idea if you should choose a complex stock trading broker/platform that ‘has it all’ or start out with a simpler and more easy-to-use alternative?

No worries, we got you covered. Below is a list of what we consider to be the best stock brokers for beginners in which we list the pros and cons of each.

TD-Ameritrade

TD Ameritrade

Rating: 5 stars
Fees: $0 stock fees
Account Minimum: $0
Margin Account: Yes
Pros: $0 stock/ETF commissions, a full featured trading platform for all experience levels (both traders/investors), multiple account types, solid trading/investing education & great customer support.
Cons: Higher margin rates than other competitors, no crypto trading
Our Quick Take: Out of all the stock brokers and trading platforms out there, the TD Ameritrade Think or Swim platform is one of our favorites, and the one personally used by Chris Capre (Head of 2nd Skies Trading & Investing). The simplicity of the platform, along with tools to help you find and analyze stock trades, make this a 5 star in our book. It is our all-around best platform out there for beginner to seasoned stock traders, and is also great for active traders alongside long term investors. Overall, it’s the most balanced platform and brokerage out there that really does it all and thus gets our highest rating.

Webull

WeBull

Rating: 4.25 Stars
Fees: $0 stock fees
Account Minimum: $0
Margin Account: Yes (accounts >$2000)
Pros: Excellent/Flexible mobile platform, solid web platform, cheaper margin rates and no account minimums.
Cons: Limited account types, still building its educational resources, some data feeds have monthly fees, more suitable for active traders.
Our Quick Take: For active traders looking to trade on mobile or web based applications, WeBull has one of the better and more flexible platforms out there (superior to Robinhood in our view). You can also trade a fair amount of crypto offerings (10), forex pairs (10) alongside loads of stocks. On a platform to platform basis, we find it stronger than Robinhood. For new to intermediate traders, WeBull offers a solid platform, but seasoned pros may want a more sophisticated offering. Overall a solid multi-asset broker platform for active traders.

Robinhood

Robinhood

Rating: 4.15 Stars
Fees: $0 stock/ETF fees
Account Minimum: $0
Margin Account: Yes (accounts >$2000)
Pros: Easy to use mobile trading app, fractional shares, crypto offerings and solid education
Cons: No phone customer support (big negative IMO), mobile & web app only, and no IRA accounts.
Our Quick Take: Robinhood is designed to be a simple/easy to use mobile platform for completely new stock traders. While we applaud them for ushering in the $0 commissions era, and easy to use mobile platform, they have had many missteps along the way (Gamestop debacle, app outages, still no customer phone support, and gamification tools which can potentially make the app addictive). They do offer fractional shares (a positive in our view), but the mobile or web based app is a bit too simplistic. Anyone with any decent trading or investing experience will feel the platform lacks solid tools, charting or features. For completely new stock traders however, this is the easiest way to go. For anyone else, eventually you will feel the limitations of their platform, technology and customer support.

Tastyworks

Tastyworks

Rating: 4 Stars
Fees: $0 stock fees
Account Minimum: $0
Margin Account: Yes (accounts >$2000)
Pros: Built by professional traders, solid educational offerings, available in a wide range of countries outside of the US
Cons: Primarily focused on option traders and leans towards the active trader vs long term investor, margin rates are not the best, and not for beginners
Our Quick Take: A great platform for option traders, but limited for traders looking to primarily trade stocks. Their margin interest rates are ‘ok’, so not the cheapest, nor the most expensive, but long term investors may not find this platform their top option and their stock research is lacking. Despite the shortcomings for stock traders, the fact that they accept applications from many countries outside of the US makes them a good alternative for traders looking to actively trade US stocks without fees/commissions.

Best Stock Brokers For Beginners

Features we want in our best stock brokers

The Platform: In the beginning, choosing a platform that’s intuitive and easy to use is a good place to start. While more seasoned traders and investors may prefer TD Ameritrade’s Thinkorswim platform or Tastyworks, both of which are more complex and offer advanced features, newer traders and investors will want to consider the easier brokers like WeBull and Robinhood. The platform is a key piece of technology you will use, so make sure it has all the features you want and is easy to use.

Commissions & Fees: Simply put, the fees and commissions you pay to take any trade, is taking from your potential profits and adding them to your losses. Active traders have different needs vs long term investors so make sure you understand your stock brokers commissions and fees when it comes to trading stocks.

Resources & Customer Support: How much educational content does your broker offer? That is an important question for understanding the broker platform and building your knowledge in trading stocks. A broker that offers more resources means less time you have to spend searching online for the answer, and that matters to us.
On top of this, whether your broker offers customer support or not, and how accessible it is also matters. It’s your money parked with a broker, so naturally, you’re going to want answers and support from time to time. How much support and how accessible that support is matters to us, and we believe it should for you as well.

Stock market sector simply refers to groups of stocks that are engaged in a similar business or industry. This is important to understand because various sectors can rise and fall depending upon the current market and demand (or lack thereof) for their products.

When considering what stocks to buy for your investment portfolio, it helps to look at what sectors are strong, emerging, or declining so you can decide where, when and how to invest.

Stock Market Sectors

Below are a list of various stock sectors:

  1. Communications
  2. Consumer Discretionary
  3. Consumer Staples
  4. Energy
  5. Financials
  6. Healthcare
  7. IT
  8. Industrials
  9. Materials
  10. Real Estate
  11. Utilities

The Communication Sector

The communication sector includes companies that provide telecommunications (wireless and landlines) along with television and media companies.

Examples are: Verizon (NYSE: VZ) and T-Mobile (Nasdaq: TMUS)

The Consumer Discretionary Sector

Stocks in the consumer discretionary sector offer goods and products that may or may not be necessary, and financial status determines the capacity to buy them. You might not be able to buy an expensive car or a Rolex watch, but they are consumer products you could buy if you had the income.

Examples are: Peloton (Nasdaq: PTON) and Nike (NYSE: NKE)

The Consumer Staples Sector

While stocks in the consumer discretionary sector are not necessary for one’s daily life, consumer staples are. Everyone needs to buy food, so stocks like supermarkets are a part of this sector.

Examples are: Kroger (NYSE: KR) and Target (NYSE: TGT)

The Energy Sector

This sector has companies providing a service or product in the energy industry, like oil and gas companies, along with producers of coal and ethanol.

Also included are companies that provide equipment or services to oil and gas companies.

Examples are: Chevron (NYSE: CVX) and Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM)

The Financials Sector

Stocks in the financials sector are ones that have to do with money and handling financial services. Banks, mortgage lenders and real estate investment trusts are all within this sector.

Examples are: Visa (NYSE: V) and PayPal (Nasdaq: PYPL)

The Healthcare Sector

This is a broad sector of stocks from biotech to pharmaceuticals, along with healthcare providers and equipment makers.

Examples are: Pfizer (NYSE: PFE) and Teladoc Health (NYSE: TDOC)

The IT Sector (Information Technology)

Stocks in the IT sector focus on software, technological solutions, semiconductors, hardware and basically anything to make tech available.

Examples are: Apple (Nasdaq: AAPL) and Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT)

The Industrials Sector

Stocks in the industrials sector cover a broad range from airlines, railroads, defense contractors to construction.

Examples are: American Airlines (Nasdaq: AAL) and Raytheon (NYSE: RTX)

The Materials Sector

Stocks within the materials sector offer products and goods for use in construction, materials, chemicals and manufacturing.

Examples are: Sherwin-Williams (NYSE: SHW) and US Steel (NYSE: X)

The Real Estate Sector

Stocks in the real estate sector cover companies and services such as real estate developers, real estate managers and REITs.

Examples are: Zillow (Nasdaq: Z) and Simon Property Group (NYSE: SPG)

The Utilities Sector

There are various forms of utilities provided to the American public and companies that provide these services and products are within the utilities sector.

This can range from electricity to natural gas along with renewable energy. While some utility companies are national, most are regional.

Examples are: PG&E (NYSE: PCG) and Duke Energy (NYSE: DUK)

Investing in Sectors

Depending upon the market conditions, various sectors of stocks can be in greater or lessor demand. Thus one should consider the changing trends of the market when deciding what sectors to invest stocks in.

Stock investors can consider buying just one stock to get exposure to that sector, or if they think a sector will dominate for years, consider getting multiple stocks to increase your exposure to a rising trend in that sector.

You may want to consider ETF’s for a particular sector which diversifies the risk across a broad range of companies.

Regardless, sector investing should be a strategy stock investors should consider as some will do well in a recession while others may underperform.